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8-K ·Filed May 14, 2026

AIRO

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001493152-26-022859
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The sharp revenue drop and widening losses cast doubt on the company's ability to achieve its 15-25% growth guidance. Traders should monitor Q2 2026 results for signs of backlog conversion and margin recovery. Cash burn rate suggests potential need for additional capital within 12 months if losses persist.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
AIRO ▲ +27.59% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -27.59% · α vs SPY -24.00% · entry $6.62 → $8.44
Entry = T+0 close
May 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-3.70%
call +3.70% · α +2.48%
$6.37
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-5.37%
call +5.37% · α +4.65%
$6.26
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+21.39%
call -21.39% · α -22.25%
$8.03
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+27.59%
call -27.59% · α -24.00%
$8.44
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

AIRO reported Q1 2026 revenue of $8.9M, down 24.6% YoY, with gross margin halving to 26.6%. Net loss widened to $(15.5)M from $(2.0)M, driven by product mix shift to lower-margin upgrades and continued investment. Management reiterated full-year 2026 revenue growth guidance of 15-25% and introduced negative Adjusted EBITDA guidance, but the significant quarterly miss and cash burn are concerning.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.49
Revenue
$8.9M
-24.6% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
15% to 25% YoY growth (implicit FY2026 revenue ~$104.5M-$113.6M)
maintained
Gross Margin
26.59%

Key Facts

  • Revenue declined 24.6% YoY to $8.9M (Q1 2025: $11.8M)
  • Gross margin fell to 26.6% from 58.8% a year ago
  • Operating loss expanded to $(17.2)M from $(3.1)M
  • Net loss per share worsened to $(0.49) from $(0.12)
  • Cash balance dropped to $54.2M from $74.4M in three months (burn ~$20M)
  • Drone backlog exceeded $150M as of April 30, 2026
  • Reiterated FY2026 revenue growth guidance of 15-25%
  • Introduced FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of negative mid- to high-teens $M

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of $2.9M YoY and net loss increase of $13.5M YoY

revenuegross marginoperating lossnet loss

Risk Factors

  • Revenue seasonality could persist, making full-year guidance challenging
  • Cash burn of ~$20M in a quarter leaves limited runway ($54.2M cash)
  • Margin compression from product mix shift to lower-margin upgrades
  • NATO funding delays or production bottlenecks could slow backlog conversion

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Aircraft
Analyst Consensus
78% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-022859
Document: form8-k.htm0001493152-26-022859
Document: 0001493152-26-022859-index-headers.html0001493152-26-022859
Document: 0001493152-26-022859-index.html0001493152-26-022859
Document: 0001493152-26-022859.txt0001493152-26-022859
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001493152-26-022859
6 reports for AIRO
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for AIRO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.33 $7.27▼ −0.82%▲ +0.30%$5.05 (−31.11%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$8.98 $8.14▲ +9.35%▲ +9.15%$5.05 (+43.76%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$6.62 $6.26▲ +5.37%▲ +4.65%$5.05 (+23.66%)
Apr 21, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$8.40 $7.96▼ −5.24%▼ −6.32%$5.05 (−39.88%)
Mar 31, 2026
30w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$7.61 $8.82▲ +15.98%▲ +12.03%$5.05 (−33.60%)
Mar 12, 2026
32w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.17 $9.96▼ −2.06%▼ −1.09%$5.05 (−50.34%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

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Report published May 14, 2026