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8-K ·Filed Jul 24, 2026

AIR

AAR CORP
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonmonths Processed3mo ago SEC0001104659-26-086424
8-K context-dependent: Items 5.02
Actionable Insight • Neutral

This is a routine executive compensation filing with no immediate material impact on financials or operations. Monitor future quarterly reports for compensation expense recognition and stock price progress toward hurdles, but no trading catalyst.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
AIR ▼ -23.60% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -23.60% · α vs SPY -27.33% · entry $129.05 → $98.59
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 24, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+6.10%
call +6.10% · α +6.08%
$136.92
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+8.08%
call +8.08% · α +7.71%
$139.48
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+4.47%
call +4.47% · α +0.85%
$134.82
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-23.60%
call -23.60% · α -27.33%
$98.59
settled 7d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

AAR CORP granted CEO John M. Holmes a special performance-based restricted stock award of 161,500 shares (~$15M target value) with stock price hurdles of $175, $200, and $250 over five years. The award is designed to align long-term incentives and retention, but represents no change in executive leadership or financial outlook.

Key Facts

  • 161,500 shares of performance-based restricted stock granted to CEO John M. Holmes
  • Target grant date fair value approximately $15 million
  • Award vests on July 31, 2031, subject to stock price hurdles: $175, $200, $250 (35%, 54%, 93% premiums over $129.47 closing price)
  • Award is a one-time special grant outside regular annual compensation
  • No CEO departure or change; no financial results reported

Financial Impact

~$15 million in potential equity compensation over five years, contingent on stock price performance

dilutioncompensation expense

Risk Factors

  • If stock price fails to meet hurdles, award may not vest, limiting dilution
  • Potential dilution of ~0.4% of outstanding shares if fully vested

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Aircraft & Parts
Analyst Consensus
82% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-086424
Document: tm2621198d1_ex10-1.htm0001104659-26-086424
Document: 0001104659-26-086424-index-headers.html0001104659-26-086424
Document: 0001104659-26-086424-index.html0001104659-26-086424
Document: 0001104659-26-086424.txt0001104659-26-086424
17 reports for AIR
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate @ T+1 1 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 1 of 3 best @ T+1▲ +4.45%Aug 3, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AIR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$97.34awaiting T+1—$97.34 (−0.00%)
Oct 26, 2026
today
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$94.67awaiting T+1—$97.34 (+2.82%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$99.64 $96.67▼ −2.98%▼ −1.80%$97.34 (−2.31%)
Sep 28, 2026
27d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$106.75 $101.47▼ −4.95%▼ −4.74%$97.34 (−8.81%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$106.75 $101.47▼ −4.95%▼ −4.74%$97.34 (−8.81%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$120.56 $116.11▼ −3.69%▼ −4.23%$97.34 (−19.26%)
Sep 15, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$117.23awaiting T+1—$97.34 (−16.97%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$142.69 $145.45▲ +1.93%▲ +2.25%$97.34 (−31.78%)
Aug 4, 2026
11w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$149.43 $146.83▼ −1.74%▼ −1.54%$97.34 (−34.86%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$143.06 $149.43▲ +4.45%▲ +2.65%$97.34 (−31.96%)
Showing 10 of 17

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (16h 39m)

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Report published Jul 24, 2026