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S-1 ·Filed Oct 19, 2026

AIAI

AIAI Holdings Corp
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed8d ago SEC0001493152-26-047623
IPO registration
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The S-1 registers a large block of shares for resale by B. Riley, creating persistent overhang. Monitor the company's ability to draw on the $200M facility without further depressing the stock price, and watch for any additional acquisitions or AI implementation milestones that could validate the business model.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
AIAI ▼ -20.18% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +20.18% · α vs SPY +20.20% · entry $2.28 → $1.82
Next anchor: T+20d in 20d
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 19, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.32%
call -1.32% · α -0.79%
$2.31
settled 7d ago
T+5d
-20.18%
call +20.18% · α +20.20%
$1.82
settled yesterday
T+20d
Pending
in 20d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Executive Summary

AIAI Holdings Corp filed an S-1 registration statement for the resale of up to 14,934,045 shares of Class A common stock by selling stockholders, primarily B. Riley Principal Capital II under a $200M committed equity facility. The company, formed in July 2024, completed acquisitions of six portfolio companies in May 2026 and has a limited operating history with no proceeds from this offering. Pro forma financials show a combined net loss of $90.2 million on $123.0 million of revenue for the six months ended June 30, 2026, driven by $20.6 million in acquisition costs and $33.7 million in amortization of the M42 license intangible.

Key Facts

  • Resale of up to 14,934,045 shares by selling stockholders, including up to 14,125,485 shares issuable to B. Riley Principal Capital II under a $200M committed equity facility
  • Company receives no proceeds from this offering; may receive up to $200M from future sales to B. Riley at its discretion
  • Pro forma combined net loss of $90.2 million on $123.0 million revenue for six months ended June 30, 2026
  • Pro forma combined net loss of $96.7 million on $272.0 million revenue for year ended December 31, 2025
  • Material weaknesses in internal controls identified at CCCI, a key portfolio company
  • Founder John Rochon retains 50.1% voting control through super-voting Class B shares
  • Stock price declined from $19.57 high in Q2 2026 to $2.68 on October 16, 2026

Financial Impact

Pro forma combined net loss of $90.2 million on $123.0 million revenue for H1 2026; $96.7 million loss on $272.0 million revenue for FY 2025. Dilution risk from up to 14.1M new shares (16.6% of outstanding) under the B. Riley facility.

revenuenet incomedilutiondebt

Risk Factors

  • Limited operating history with no established financing sources
  • Potential dilution from up to 14.1M new shares under the B. Riley facility (16.6% of outstanding)
  • Material weaknesses in internal controls at CCCI portfolio company
  • Founder retains 50.1% voting control creating potential conflicts of interest
  • Stock price has declined 86% from Q2 2026 high of $19.57 to $2.68

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 2 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-1 Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-047623
Exhibit: ex10-19.htm0001493152-26-047623
19 reports for AIAI
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for AIAI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.95awaiting T+5—$1.70 (−12.82%)
Oct 27, 2026
today
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$1.90awaiting T+5—$1.70 (−10.53%)
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$2.28 $1.82▲ +20.18%▲ +20.20%$1.70 (+25.44%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.45 $3.74▼ −8.41%▼ −9.43%$1.70 (+50.72%)
Jul 8, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$11.28 $6.93▼ −38.56%▼ −38.43%$1.70 (−84.93%)
Jun 30, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.53 $11.28▼ −22.37%▼ −23.17%$1.70 (−88.30%)
May 18, 2026
23w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$13.17 $13.88▲ +5.39%▲ +3.09%$1.70 (−87.09%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
424B4
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$15.09 $14.57▲ +3.45%▲ +2.73%$1.70 (+88.73%)
May 7, 2026
24w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
—awaiting T+5——
May 6, 2026
24w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
—awaiting T+5——
Showing 10 of 19

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Oct 19, 2026