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424B5 ·Filed May 15, 2026

AGPU

Axe Compute Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001171843-26-003488
Notable filing: 424B5
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The massive increase in ATM capacity ($100M vs ~$31M market cap) signals aggressive capital raising, likely to fund Aethir token operations or general corporate needs. Expect continued dilution pressure. Monitor ATM sales pace via subsequent 8-K filings and ATH token price volatility, which directly impacts the company's asset base.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
AGPU ▲ +71.79% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -71.79% · α vs SPY -66.94% · entry $4.68 → $8.04
Entry = T+0 close
May 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.71%
call -1.71% · α -2.36%
$4.76
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+47.86%
call -47.86% · α -46.24%
$6.92
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+58.12%
call -58.12% · α -56.54%
$7.40
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+71.79%
call -71.79% · α -66.94%
$8.04
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Axe Compute Inc. (AGPU) filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement to increase its ATM offering capacity from prior amounts to an aggregate of up to $100 million of common stock through H.C. Wainwright. The company's public float exceeded $75 million, removing prior sales limitations. As of May 14, 2026, the company held approximately 6.209 billion Aethir tokens (ATH) valued at ~$42.1 million. The stock closed at $5.60 on May 14, 2026, and the filing signals ongoing dilution risk.

Key Facts

  • ATM offering increased to up to $100 million aggregate of common stock, including shares previously sold.
  • Since entering the Sales Agreement, 1,334,907 shares sold for ~$17.0 million.
  • Public float ~$90.0 million based on 10,282,258 non-affiliate shares at $8.75 (April 22, 2026 high).
  • Company holds ~6.209 billion Aethir tokens (ATH) valued at ~$42.1 million at $0.0068/ATH.
  • Stock price $5.60 on May 14, 2026, down from the $8.75 reference price used for float calculation.
  • Cross-filing context includes an S-3/A shelf registration from November 2025 for resale of up to 5,970,181 shares by selling stockholders.

Financial Impact

Up to $100 million in potential dilution from ATM sales; $17 million already raised via 1.33 million shares. Aethir token holdings valued at ~$42.1 million provide a non-cash asset buffer.

dilutionshare countcash

Risk Factors

  • Massive dilution: up to $100M ATM capacity dwarfs the $31M market cap, potentially doubling or tripling share count.
  • Aethir token (ATH) price volatility: $42.1M holding at $0.0068/ATH is subject to crypto market swings, creating balance sheet risk.
  • Stock price decline from $8.75 reference to $5.60 suggests selling pressure may already be underway.
  • Cross-filing S-3/A adds up to 5.97M additional shares for resale by selling stockholders, compounding dilution.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Orthopedic, Prosthetic & Surgical Appliances & Supplies
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (6 analysts)

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001171843-26-003488
Document: 0001171843-26-003488-index-headers.html0001171843-26-003488
Document: 0001171843-26-003488-index.html0001171843-26-003488
Document: 0001171843-26-003488.txt0001171843-26-003488
21 reports for AGPU
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+20 7 of 14 directional calls Went positive at some point 11 of 16 best @ T+60▲ +71.79%May 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AGPU — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$12.99awaiting T+20—$8.04 (−38.11%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$12.99awaiting T+20—$8.04 (−38.11%)
Sep 9, 2026
6w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.56 $11.41▲ +8.05%▲ +5.67%$8.04 (−23.86%)
Aug 18, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$10.33 $11.71▲ +13.36%▲ +14.35%$8.04 (−22.17%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.62 $11.06▲ +4.10%▲ +6.07%$8.04 (−24.29%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$10.62 $11.06▲ +4.10%▲ +6.07%$8.04 (−24.29%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$7.21 $10.27▲ +42.44%▲ +39.14%$8.04 (+11.51%)
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$7.11 $10.90▲ +53.31%▲ +50.41%$8.04 (+13.08%)
Jul 20, 2026
13w ago
S-3/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$9.54 $10.33▼ −8.28%▼ −5.72%$8.04 (+15.72%)
Jul 2, 2026
16w ago
S-3/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$7.08 $8.50▼ −20.06%▼ −20.47%$8.04 (−13.56%)
Showing 10 of 21

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Report published May 15, 2026