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Institutional Cluster

AGNC

AGNC Investment Corp.
MIXED
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 2 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The cluster suggests growing institutional interest, but the 45-day reporting lag and poor historical performance of AGNC signals warrant caution. Monitor for insider buying or further 13F filings to confirm conviction; the Vaughan Nelson new position is the strongest signal but may already be priced in.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
AGNC ▼ -21.15% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -21.15% · α vs SPY -25.99% · entry $10.92 → $8.61
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 19, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.28%
call -1.28% · α -2.12%
$10.78
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-3.02%
call -3.02% · α -2.60%
$10.59
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+0.27%
call +0.27% · α -3.85%
$10.95
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-21.15%
call -21.15% · α -25.99%
$8.61
settled 14d ago

Executive Summary

Three asset managers accumulated $80.4M in AGNC during Q2 2026, led by Vaughan Nelson's new $65.9M position and Wealth Enhancement's doubling to $13.9M, while two small sellers trimmed only $733K. The net buying is notable but historically similar signals on AGNC have underperformed, and the 45-day 13F lag means positions may already be unwound.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$87.6M
Sell Value
$1.2M
Net Flow
$79.7M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $79.7M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Vaughan Nelson Investment ManagementNEW+100%$65.9M$65.9M
Wealth Enhancement Advisory ServicesDOUBLED+802.6%$13.9M$12.5M
Qrg Capital ManagementADD+25%$7.8M$2.1M

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Sequoia Financial AdvisorsTRIM-55.2%$234.0K-$120.0K
Farther Finance AdvisorsTRIM-63.6%$1.0M-$613.1K

Key Facts

  • Vaughan Nelson Investment Management initiated a new $65.9M position (6.05M shares)
  • Wealth Enhancement Advisory Services doubled its stake to $13.9M (+802.6% shares)
  • Qrg Capital Management added 25% to its position, now $7.8M
  • Two sellers trimmed a combined $733K, representing negligible outflows
  • Net institutional buying of ~$79.7M, or ~0.6% of AGNC's $12.9B market cap

Financial Impact

Net institutional buying of $79.7M across 3 buyers, with sellers reducing only $733K

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been reduced since quarter-end
  • No insider buying corroborates the institutional accumulation (confluence score 9/100, divergent)
  • Mortgage REITs face interest rate sensitivity and prepayment risk

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Analyst Consensus
50% bullish (20 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-AGNC-2026-Q2
11 reports for AGNC
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+1 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +15.40%Jul 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AGNC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$8.86awaiting T+1——
Oct 19, 2026
6d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$8.80 $8.78▲ +0.23%▲ +0.75%—
Oct 19, 2026
6d ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$8.80 $8.78▲ +0.23%▲ +0.75%—
Sep 30, 2026
25d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$8.95 $8.79▼ −1.79%▼ −2.53%—
Sep 11, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$10.09 $9.96▼ −1.29%▼ −0.83%—
Sep 9, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$10.19 $10.15▼ −0.39%▼ −1.25%—
Jul 20, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$10.78 $10.72▼ −0.56%▼ −0.44%—
Jul 19, 2026
14w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$10.92 $10.78▼ −1.28%▼ −2.12%—
Jul 8, 2026
15w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$11.07 $11.12▲ +0.44%▲ +0.02%—
Jul 4, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$11.17 $11.12▲ +0.45%▼ −0.03%—
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (17h 30m)

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Report published Jul 19, 2026