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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Mar 4, 2026

AFCG

Advanced Flower Capital
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed7mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Dividend
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The dividend is covered by Distributable Earnings, but traders should monitor credit loss trends and portfolio quality given the large GAAP loss. The disconnect between non-GAAP profitability and GAAP results warrants caution on long-term dividend sustainability.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
AFCG ▲ +58.60% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +58.60% · α vs SPY +48.52% · entry $2.36 → $3.75
Entry = T+0 close
Mar 4, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+6.64%
call +6.64% · α +7.21%
$2.52
settled 8mo ago
T+5d
+9.13%
call +9.13% · α +10.46%
$2.58
settled 8mo ago
T+20d
+17.16%
call +17.16% · α +21.57%
$2.77
settled 7mo ago
T+60d
+58.60%
call +58.60% · α +48.52%
$3.75
settled 5mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Advanced Flower Capital (AFCG) reported a full-year 2025 GAAP net loss of $20.7 million but positive Distributable Earnings of $8.7 million. The company declared a $0.05 per share dividend for Q1 2026, payable April 15, 2026, despite a challenging year marked by significant credit loss provisions and negative GAAP profitability.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$31.3M
Adj. EPS
$0.39
GAAP: $-0.95

Key Facts

  • Full-year 2025 GAAP net loss of $(20.7) million vs. Distributable Earnings of $8.7 million
  • Q4 2025 GAAP net income of $0.9 million, but Distributable Earnings of $(2.8) million
  • Board declared a $0.05 per share cash dividend for Q1 2026
  • Dividend payable April 15, 2026, to shareholders of record as of March 31, 2026
  • High stock-based compensation ($6.8M in 2025) and $22.6M provision for credit losses impacted GAAP results

Financial Impact

Dividend implies ~$1.13M total payout based on 22.25M shares; Distributable Earnings of $8.7M supports dividend coverage, but GAAP losses raise sustainability concerns

distributable_earningsdividendnet_incomecredit_loss_provision

Risk Factors

  • High credit loss provision ($22.6M) suggests portfolio deterioration
  • Heavy reliance on non-GAAP metrics to justify dividend; GAAP results show significant loss
  • Stock-based compensation is a recurring large expense, not a one-time item

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3249265
12 reports for AFCG
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate @ T+20 4 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +13.27%May 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AFCG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$3.27 $3.43▲ +4.89%▲ +5.17%$2.98 (−8.87%)
Aug 18, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$3.53 $3.42▼ −3.07%▼ −2.23%$2.98 (−15.60%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$3.44 $3.47▲ +0.87%▲ +2.62%$2.98 (−13.37%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$3.01 $3.55▲ +17.94%▲ +19.69%$2.98 (−1.00%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$3.01 $3.55▲ +17.94%▲ +19.69%$2.98 (−1.00%)
Jul 17, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$2.81 $3.16▲ +12.46%▲ +8.01%$2.98 (+6.05%)
Jun 30, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$3.16 $2.67▼ −15.51%▼ −13.32%$2.98 (−5.70%)
Jun 15, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.33 $2.85▼ −14.41%▼ −13.66%$2.98 (−10.51%)
May 7, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$3.09 $3.50▲ +13.27%▲ +10.13%$2.98 (−3.56%)
May 7, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$3.09 $3.50▲ +13.27%▲ +10.13%$2.98 (−3.56%)
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (15h 57m)

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Report published Mar 4, 2026