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8-K ·Filed May 14, 2026

AEON

AEON Biopharma, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed5mo ago SEC0001837607-26-000041
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The FDA Type 2a feedback is a modest positive for the ABP-450 program, but with only ~$7M cash runway into Q3 2026, AEON will likely need additional financing before the Type 2b meeting. The massive share dilution (shares more than doubled) and pre-revenue status limit upside. Watch for the Type 2b meeting in H2 2026 as the next major catalyst.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
AEON ▼ -62.19% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -62.19% · α vs SPY -66.70% · entry $0.7220 → $0.2730
Entry = T+0 close
May 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+18.42%
call +18.42% · α +18.48%
$0.8550
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+7.62%
call +7.62% · α +6.65%
$0.7770
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-7.89%
call -7.89% · α -10.01%
$0.6650
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-62.19%
call -62.19% · α -66.70%
$0.2730
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

AEON Biopharma reported Q1 2026 results with a net loss of $11.8M ($-0.29/share), compared to net income of $9.1M ($2.28/share) in Q1 2025, driven by increased operating expenses and fair-value changes on convertible notes. The company highlighted positive FDA Type 2a feedback for its ABP-450 biosimilar program and a strengthened balance sheet from a $6M PIPE and Daewoong note exchange that reduced debt by over 90%. Cash of $6.2M (plus $0.9M from ATM in April) funds operations into Q3 2026, but the pre-revenue clinical-stage biotech faces a binary regulatory catalyst with no near-term revenue.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.29
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • Net loss of $11.8M in Q1 2026 vs net income of $9.1M in Q1 2025, driven by operating expense growth and non-cash fair-value adjustments
  • Cash and cash equivalents of $6.2M as of March 31, 2026, plus $0.9M from April ATM, funding operations into Q3 2026
  • Convertible notes reduced from $34.6M to $1.5M following Daewoong note exchange, cutting outstanding debt by >90%
  • FDA BPD Type 2a meeting provided positive feedback on ABP-450 analytical similarity strategy under 351(k) biosimilar pathway
  • Shares outstanding more than doubled to 25.3M from 12.1M at year-end 2025, reflecting PIPE and note exchange issuances
  • BPD Type 2b meeting with FDA planned for second half 2026 to discuss remaining development program requirements

Financial Impact

Q1 2026 net loss of $11.8M vs net income of $9.1M in Q1 2025; operating expenses increased to $5.9M from $0.5M; cash burn rate ~$2M/month with runway into Q3 2026

net incomecashdebtdilution

Risk Factors

  • Cash runway only into Q3 2026 — likely needs additional financing before next FDA milestone
  • Pre-revenue with no approved products; ABP-450 faces long regulatory path with no guarantee of approval
  • Massive share dilution (shares outstanding more than doubled from year-end 2025) depresses per-share value
  • Single-product pipeline risk — failure of ABP-450 program would be value-destructive
  • NYSE American continued listing standards risk flagged in forward-looking statements

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001837607-26-000041
Document: aeon-20260514x8k.htm0001837607-26-000041
Document: 0001837607-26-000041-index-headers.html0001837607-26-000041
Document: 0001837607-26-000041-index.html0001837607-26-000041
Document: 0001837607-26-000041.txt0001837607-26-000041
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001837607-26-000041
16 reports for AEON
Performance horizon
89% Hit rate @ T+5 8 of 9 directional calls Went positive at some point 9 of 9 best @ T+60▲ +44.50%Jul 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AEON — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
DEF 14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
—awaiting T+5——
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.2399awaiting T+5—$0.2400 (+0.04%)
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.3000 $0.3110▲ +3.67%▲ +1.75%$0.2400 (−20.00%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.1974 $0.2959▲ +49.90%▲ +49.43%$0.2400 (+21.58%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.1980 $0.2515▲ +27.02%▲ +27.41%$0.2400 (+21.21%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.2706 $0.1931▼ −28.64%▼ −26.68%$0.2400 (−11.31%)
Jul 23, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.2507 $0.2552▼ −1.79%▼ −1.42%$0.2400 (+4.27%)
Jul 15, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.2974 $0.2600▲ +12.58%▲ +10.91%$0.2400 (+19.30%)
Jul 15, 2026
14w ago
424B4
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.2997 $0.2752▲ +8.17%▲ +7.19%$0.2400 (+19.92%)
Jul 14, 2026
14w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.3570 $0.2890▲ +19.05%▲ +17.75%$0.2400 (+32.77%)
Showing 10 of 16

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (15h 56m)

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Report published May 14, 2026