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8-K ·Filed Jun 22, 2026

ADPT

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC0001193125-26-277516
Killer combo: Material agreement + unregistered equity (likely PIPE/convertible)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The company has effectively refinanced its high-cost revenue interest obligation with OrbiMed (which carried a 165-175% return cap) with zero-coupon convertible notes, reducing future cash outflow risk. The $25M share repurchase and $25.6M capped call cost suggest management is actively managing dilution. Monitor the stock price relative to the $24.11 conversion price — if ADPT trades above that level, conversion risk increases.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
ADPT ▲ +60.59% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +60.59% · α vs SPY +57.35% · entry $17.23 → $27.67
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 22, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+12.25%
call +12.25% · α +12.29%
$19.34
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+24.20%
call +24.20% · α +23.19%
$21.40
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+26.87%
call +26.87% · α +25.71%
$21.86
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+60.59%
call +60.59% · α +57.35%
$27.67
settled 6w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Adaptive Biotechnologies issued $345M in 0% convertible senior notes due 2031, used $156.9M to repurchase and terminate the OrbiMed revenue interest purchase agreement, $25.6M for capped call transactions, $25M for share repurchases, and retained ~$137M for general corporate purposes. The OrbiMed agreement was terminated with a $156.9M payoff (126% of the original $124.4M).

Key Financial Metrics

Offering Size
$345.0M

Key Facts

  • Issued $345M aggregate principal of 0% Convertible Senior Notes due 2031 on June 22, 2026
  • Initial conversion rate: 41.4800 shares per $1,000 principal, conversion price ~$24.11 per share (40% premium over $17.22)
  • Net proceeds ~$334.5M after deducting initial purchasers' discounts and commissions and estimated offering expenses
  • Used $156.9M to repurchase all Revenue Interests and repay in full the OrbiMed Purchase Agreement
  • Used $25.6M to pay cost of capped call transactions
  • Used $25.0M to repurchase 1,451,800 shares of common stock in privately negotiated transactions
  • Remaining ~$127M held for general corporate purposes and opportunistic initiatives in the MRD business
  • OrbiMed Purchase Agreement terminated: original $124.4M payment, payoff at 126% ($156.9M) including waiver of 165% return cap

Financial Impact

Debt reduction of $156.9M (OrbiMed revenue interest purchase agreement), new debt of $345M convertible notes, net cash raised ~$178.5M after share repurchases and capped call costs

debtdilutioncash

Risk Factors

  • Convertible notes add $345M of debt that could be converted into equity, diluting existing shareholders
  • If stock price does not appreciate above $24.11, notes may remain as debt rather than converting, increasing leverage
  • The OrbiMed waiver is conditioned on closing by June 23, 2026 — any delay could void the transaction

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-277516
Document: d28937dex101.htm0001193125-26-277516
Document: d28937d8k.htm0001193125-26-277516
Document: d28937dex102.htm0001193125-26-277516
28 reports for ADPT
Performance horizon
45% Hit rate @ T+20 5 of 11 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 11 best @ T+60▲ +56.41%May 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ADPT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$26.28awaiting T+20—$26.27 (−0.04%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$26.90awaiting T+20—$26.27 (−2.34%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$29.43 $25.51▼ −13.32%▼ −11.84%$26.27 (−10.74%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$27.86 $23.95▲ +14.03%▲ +13.13%$26.27 (+5.71%)
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$25.99 $27.86▲ +7.20%▲ +7.72%$26.27 (+1.08%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$25.44 $28.55▼ −12.22%▼ −12.22%$26.27 (−3.26%)
Aug 18, 2026
9w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$25.49 $26.68▲ +4.67%▲ +6.19%$26.27 (+3.06%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$24.56 $27.67▼ −12.66%▼ −13.97%$26.27 (−6.96%)
Jul 29, 2026
12w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$24.18 $26.44▼ −9.35%▼ −5.38%$26.27 (−8.64%)
Jul 23, 2026
13w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$22.27 $25.99▲ +16.70%▲ +13.08%$26.27 (+17.96%)
Showing 10 of 28

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (10h 6m)

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Report published Jun 22, 2026