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Institutional Cluster

ADAG

Adagene Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 2 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The institutional cluster is directionally positive but lacks conviction — passive/quant buying without a clear catalyst thesis. Monitor for a specific catalyst (e.g., pipeline data, partnership) before taking a position.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
ADAG ▼ -22.45% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -22.45% · α vs SPY -20.48% · entry $3.83 → $2.97
Next anchor: T+60d in 13d
Latest observation: T+48 -28.77% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 16, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+5.74%
call +5.74% · α +6.42%
$4.05
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+1.83%
call +1.83% · α +3.02%
$3.90
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-22.45%
call -22.45% · α -20.48%
$2.97
settled 6w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 13d

Executive Summary

Three institutional investors (Geode, UBS, and Renaissance Technologies) accumulated $1.2M in ADAG during Q2 2026, while JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley reduced holdings by $226K. The buying is dominated by passive/quant funds, and the net dollar flow is modest relative to the $244M market cap.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$1.2M
Sell Value
$259.0K
Net Flow
$1.0M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $1.0M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
GeodeADD+74.5%$76.0K$35.0K
UBSDOUBLED+3000%$521.0K$505.0K
RenTechDOUBLED+324.2%$615.0K$480.0K

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
JPMorganTRIM-36.5%$3.0K-$786.00
Morgan StanleyNEAR_EXIT-88%$259.0K-$225.9K

Key Facts

  • 3 institutional buyers added $1.0M net in Q2 2026, led by UBS (+$505K) and RenTech (+$480K)
  • 2 sellers (JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley) reduced by $226K total
  • Buyers are predominantly passive (Geode, UBS) and quant (RenTech) — no activist or high-conviction active value funds
  • Insider buying of $85K by C-suite provides mild corroboration (confluence score 56/100)

Financial Impact

3 institutions accumulated $1.2M in new positions while 2 reduced holdings by $226K, net inflow of ~$1.0M

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale — positions may have been unwound
  • Passive/quant buying may reflect index rebalancing, not fundamental conviction
  • Small absolute dollar flows ($1.0M) relative to $244M market cap limit signal strength

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
85% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-ADAG-2026-Q2
16 reports for ADAG
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 7 best @ T+1▲ +8.27%Apr 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ADAG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.20awaiting T+60——
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$3.23awaiting T+60——
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$3.31awaiting T+60——
Sep 9, 2026
6w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.27awaiting T+60——
Aug 16, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$3.83awaiting T+60——
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$3.75awaiting T+60——
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$3.75awaiting T+60——
Jul 6, 2026
16w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.93 $3.21▼ −18.32%▼ −20.04%—
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$3.89 $3.67▼ −5.66%▼ −12.43%—
Apr 2, 2026
29w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$3.99 $4.20▼ −5.26%▲ +8.90%—
Showing 10 of 16

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 3h 19m

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Report published Aug 16, 2026