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Institutional Cluster

ACHR

Archer Aviation Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago
Institutional cluster: 4 buyers, 10 sellers (bearish)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The bearish cluster suggests institutional sentiment is souring on ACHR's path to commercialization. Monitor for potential capital raise (S-3 shelf filing) or delayed certification timelines that could trigger further selling. The lack of insider buying amplifies the bearish signal — any insider open-market purchases would be a key reversal indicator to watch.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
ACHR ▼ -6.87% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +6.87% · α vs SPY +5.95% · entry $6.26 → $5.83
Next anchor: T+60d in 6d
Latest observation: T+54 +14.14% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 8, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+8.47%
call -8.47% · α -8.79%
$6.79
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+2.08%
call -2.08% · α -2.12%
$6.39
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-6.87%
call +6.87% · α +5.95%
$5.83
settled 8w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 6d

Executive Summary

A bearish institutional cluster emerged in Archer Aviation (ACHR) during 2026-Q2, with 10 sellers trimming or exiting positions totaling ~$7.8M in net outflows, overwhelming 4 buyers adding $2.6M. The selling is broad-based across asset managers including Walleye Capital (near-exit of a $3.4M position), Citigroup, and Walleye Trading, while buying is concentrated in smaller active managers like Russell Investments and IMC-Chicago. The 2.5:1 seller-to-buyer ratio and lack of insider open-market buying (confluence score 10/100, divergent) suggest institutional conviction is deteriorating ahead of potential capital needs or delayed commercialization milestones for this pre-revenue eVTOL developer.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$5.8M
Sell Value
$7.8M
Net Flow
-$5.2M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$5.2M

▲ Buyers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Russell Investments GroupDOUBLED+219.3%$2.1M$1.4M
Imc-ChicagoADD+61.2%$3.6M$1.2M
Wealth Enhancement Advisory ServicesADD+86.5%$96.0K$2.0K
AssetmarkDOUBLED+538%$3.0K$3.0K

▼ Sellers (10)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Walleye CapitalNEAR_EXIT-98.5%$3.4M-$3.3M
CitigroupTRIM-27.2%$4.2M-$1.4M
Walleye TradingTRIM-61.7%$2.5M-$1.7M
State Of New Jersey Common Pension Fund DTRIM-26.2%$1.6M-$522.5K
Td Waterhouse CanadaTRIM-41.4%$829.0K-$367.7K

Key Facts

  • 10 institutional sellers vs 4 buyers in 2026-Q2
  • Net institutional outflow of ~$7.8M, with total sell value of ~$7.8M vs buy value of $2.6M
  • Walleye Capital nearly exited a $3.3M position (98.5% reduction)
  • Citigroup trimmed 27.2% of its $4.2M position
  • No insider open-market buying detected (confluence score 10/100, divergent)
  • Top holders State Street ($230M) and Sumitomo Mitsui ($36M) not in this cluster — selling is from smaller active managers

Financial Impact

Net institutional outflow of ~$7.8M from 10 sellers, partially offset by $2.6M in buying from 4 institutions; total tracked activity ~$10.4M

institutional_ownershipnet_institutional_flow

Risk Factors

  • Pre-revenue eVTOL developer with uncertain FAA certification timeline
  • Potential dilutive capital raise given negative institutional sentiment
  • Low insider ownership and no insider buying reduces alignment with shareholders
  • High cash burn rate typical of aerospace startups may require additional financing

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Aircraft
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (15 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-ACHR-2026-Q2
24 reports for ACHR
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+20 2 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +16.28%Aug 18, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ACHR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$5.71 $3.80▼ −33.45%▼ −33.03%—
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
25-NSE
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.22 $4.44▼ −14.94%▼ −18.12%—
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$5.83 $4.65▼ −20.24%▼ −21.95%—
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.07 $5.69▼ −6.26%▼ −7.57%—
Aug 18, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$6.45 $5.40▲ +16.28%▲ +14.33%—
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 7/10
$6.79 $5.50▼ −19.00%▼ −17.94%—
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$6.26 $5.83▼ −6.87%▼ −5.95%—
Aug 8, 2026
11w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$6.26 $5.83▲ +6.87%▲ +5.95%—
Jun 24, 2026
17w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.05 $5.18▲ +2.57%▲ +0.64%—
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.30 $4.85▼ −8.49%▼ −10.38%—
Showing 10 of 24

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 3h 57m

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Report published Aug 8, 2026