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Institutional Cluster ·Filed Sep 22, 2026

ABTC

American Bitcoin Corp.
BULLISH
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago
Institutional cluster: 22 buyers, 6 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The cluster is dominated by passive/index fund buying (Geode, Schwab, UBS, Northern Trust), which may reflect index rebalancing or passive inflows rather than a fundamental thesis. The quant buying from RenTech and Millennium adds modest conviction. Monitor next 13F for unwinding risk — if these passive buyers reverse, the signal weakens.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
ABTC ▼ -25.22% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -25.22% · α vs SPY -24.66% · entry $10.27 → $7.68
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Latest observation: T+23 -13.93% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 22, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-3.51%
call -3.51% · α -2.79%
$9.91
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-15.09%
call -15.09% · α -13.91%
$8.72
settled 27d ago
T+20d
-25.22%
call -25.22% · α -24.66%
$7.68
settled 6d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 7w

Executive Summary

22 institutional buyers accumulated $7.8M net in ABTC during Q2 2026, while 6 sellers reduced by $3.8M, for a net inflow of $4.0M. The buying is dominated by mega-passive funds (Geode, Schwab, UBS) and quant funds (RenTech, Millennium), suggesting broad-based accumulation rather than a concentrated activist thesis. The 45-day reporting lag means positions may have shifted since quarter-end.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$13.4M
Sell Value
$3.8M
Net Flow
$4.0M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $4.0M

▲ Buyers (22)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
GeodeADD+89.2%$2.3M$722.0K
SchwabDOUBLED+6945.3%$6.0M$5.9M
RenTechADD+78.1%$2.1M$496.0K
MillenniumDOUBLED+159.2%$36.0K$17.0K
Susquehanna International GroupADD+90.7%$1.0M$289.0K

▼ Sellers (6)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Goldman SachsNEAR_EXIT-78.9%$487.0K-$411.0K
HRT FinancialTRIM-67.5%$2.9M-$2.2M
Mirae Asset Global Etfs HoldingsTRIM-31.1%$1.5M-$786.0K
Imc-ChicagoTRIM-54.4%$149.0K-$99.0K

Key Facts

  • 22 institutional buyers added $7.8M in net new holdings; 6 sellers reduced by $3.8M
  • Schwab doubled its position to 8.80M shares ($6.0M), the largest single buyer
  • RenTech added 78.1% to 3.06M shares ($2.1M), a notable quant signal
  • Goldman Sachs nearly exited, cutting 78.9% to 111.1K shares ($76K)
  • HRT Financial trimmed 67.5% to 1.02M shares ($692K), the largest seller by value

Financial Impact

Net institutional inflow of approximately $4.0M during Q2 2026, with $7.8M in buying vs $3.8M in selling

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been unwound since quarter-end
  • Passive fund buying dominates the cluster, reducing signal quality
  • No insider buying confluence to corroborate the institutional thesis
  • HRT Financial's large trim ($2.2M) suggests some sophisticated money is reducing exposure

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-ABTC-2026-Q2
10 reports for ABTC
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +33.85%Jul 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ABTC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$10.27awaiting T+60——
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$7.07awaiting T+60——
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$5.85awaiting T+60——
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$5.85awaiting T+60——
Jul 21, 2026
13w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$6.47 $8.66▲ +33.85%▲ +29.88%—
Jul 10, 2026
15w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$6.13 $8.71▲ +42.09%▲ +39.45%—
Apr 27, 2026
26w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$18.15 $6.10▼ −66.39%▼ −71.17%—
Mar 3, 2026
33w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.03 $1.07▲ +3.88%▼ −6.43%—
Mar 3, 2026
33w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.03 $1.07▲ +3.88%▼ −6.43%—
Feb 26, 2026
34w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.08 $1.13▲ +4.63%▼ −3.12%—
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 3m

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Report published Sep 22, 2026