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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 8, 2026

ABR

Arbor Realty Trust
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The dividend cut and severe earnings miss signal ongoing credit stress in the structured loan portfolio. Watch for further REO impairments and loan modification outcomes in Q2. The stock's 66%-of-book-value buyback suggests management sees value, but the fundamental deterioration likely outweighs that signal near-term.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
ABR ▼ -27.60% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +27.60% · α vs SPY +32.44% · entry $7.21 → $5.22
Entry = T+0 close
May 8, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-7.63%
call +7.63% · α +7.86%
$6.66
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-19.00%
call +19.00% · α +20.47%
$5.84
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-27.18%
call +27.18% · α +27.21%
$5.25
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-27.60%
call +27.60% · α +32.44%
$5.22
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Arbor Realty Trust reported Q1 2026 GAAP net income of $0.6M ($0.00/diluted share), a sharp decline from $30.4M ($0.16) a year ago, driven by $12.5M in REO impairments and elevated credit provisions. Distributable earnings (the Street metric) fell to $0.07/share from $0.28, well below the $0.11 consensus, while revenue (net interest income + other) also declined. The dividend was cut to $0.17/share from $0.30, reflecting the earnings deterioration.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.07
est $0.11 · -36.4%
Revenue
$117.4M
est $53.6M · +119.0%
Rating
strong miss

Key Facts

  • GAAP net income attributable to common stockholders fell 98% YoY to $0.6M from $30.4M
  • Distributable earnings (Street EPS) of $0.07 missed $0.11 consensus by 36%
  • Quarterly common dividend slashed to $0.17 from $0.30 (43% cut)
  • Net interest income declined 21% YoY to $59.8M from $75.4M
  • Impairment loss on real estate owned of $12.5M vs $0 a year ago
  • Non-performing loans UPB improved to $481.5M from $569.1M QoQ, but loan modifications totaled $478.8M
  • Company repurchased $30.7M of stock at 66% of book value

Financial Impact

Distributable earnings miss of ~$0.04/share vs consensus; dividend cut of $0.13/share quarterly; net interest income down $15.6M YoY

epsnet interest incomedividenddistributable earningscredit provisions

Risk Factors

  • Further credit deterioration in structured loan portfolio (19 NPLs, $481.5M UPB)
  • Additional REO impairments and property operating losses
  • Dividend sustainability at $0.17/quarter if distributable earnings remain depressed
  • Agency business revenue decline (Q1 $57.9M vs Q4 $81.0M) may persist

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Analyst Consensus
8% bullish (12 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3291056
13 reports for ABR
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +42.32%Jul 31, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ABR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$3.00awaiting T+60—$2.86 (−4.83%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.47awaiting T+60—$2.86 (−17.72%)
Sep 1, 2026
7w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$5.16awaiting T+60—$2.86 (−44.67%)
Aug 15, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$5.00awaiting T+60—$2.86 (+42.90%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$5.01 $2.89▲ +42.32%▲ +44.77%$2.86 (+43.01%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$5.01 $2.89▲ +42.32%▲ +44.77%$2.86 (+43.01%)
Jun 30, 2026
16w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$5.36 $4.07▼ −24.07%▼ −27.02%$2.86 (−46.74%)
May 8, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$23.38 $22.40▲ +4.19%▲ +9.03%$2.86 (+87.79%)
May 8, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$7.21 $5.22▲ +27.60%▲ +32.44%$2.86 (+60.40%)
Apr 16, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$22.55 $22.94▲ +1.73%▼ −4.41%$2.86 (−87.34%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

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Report published May 8, 2026