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8-K ·Filed Jul 31, 2026

ABR

ARBOR REALTY TRUST INC
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001253986-26-000047
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The sharp increase in credit provisions and emergence of new non-accrual loans signal worsening credit quality in the structured loan portfolio. Monitor the Q3 earnings call for updates on NPL resolution and the pace of further credit deterioration. The aggressive stock buyback at deep discounts to book value partially offsets the bearish credit trend but does not reverse the earnings decline.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
ABR ▲ +1.00% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -1.00% · α vs SPY +1.99% · entry $5.01 → $5.06
Next anchor: T+60d due 4h ago
Latest observation: T+59 -11.51% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 31, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.99%
call -2.99% · α -1.57%
$5.16
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+6.79%
call -6.79% · α -3.28%
$5.35
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+1.00%
call -1.00% · α +1.99%
$5.06
settled 8w ago
T+60d
Pending
due 4h ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Arbor Realty Trust reported Q2 2026 GAAP net loss of $(37.3) million, or $(0.20) per diluted common share, compared to net income of $24.0 million in Q2 2025. Distributable earnings (the Street metric for this mREIT) fell to $0.10 per share from $0.25 a year ago, while credit provisions surged to $38.2 million from $19.0 million, signaling accelerating credit deterioration in the structured loan portfolio. The company generated $500M in liquidity via capital markets transactions, repurchased $135M of stock at deep discounts to book value, and redeemed $270M of senior notes, but the core earnings power continues to erode.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.10
est $0.05 · +100.0%
Revenue
$115.9M
est $48.5M · +138.9%
Rating
strong miss

Key Facts

  • GAAP net loss of $(37.3) million vs net income of $24.0 million in Q2 2025
  • Distributable earnings per share fell to $0.10 from $0.25 YoY
  • Net interest income declined to $53.1M from $68.7M YoY
  • Provision for credit losses surged to $38.2M from $19.0M YoY
  • Non-performing loans UPB of $428.8M with loan loss reserves of $31.1M
  • Three non-accrual loans ($94.9M) less than 60 days past due vs none in Q1
  • Completed $375M convertible note offering at 6.25% due 2029
  • Repurchased $114.3M of stock at $5.42/share (49% of book value) in July 2026
  • Redeemed $270M of 4.50% senior notes due 2026
  • Dividend maintained at $0.17 per share

Financial Impact

Distributable earnings down 60% YoY to $0.10/share; credit provisions doubled to $38.2M; net interest income down 23% YoY

distributable earningsnet interest incomecredit provisionsnon-performing loansbook value

Risk Factors

  • Further credit deterioration in the multifamily/SFR bridge loan portfolio
  • Additional non-accrual loans and higher CECL provisions
  • Potential dividend cut if distributable earnings continue to decline
  • Liquidity risk if capital markets access tightens

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Analyst Consensus
8% bullish (12 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001253986-26-000047
Document: abr-20260731.htm0001253986-26-000047
Document: 0001253986-26-000047-index-headers.html0001253986-26-000047
Document: 0001253986-26-000047-index.html0001253986-26-000047
Document: 0001253986-26-000047.txt0001253986-26-000047
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001253986-26-000047
13 reports for ABR
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +29.02%Feb 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ABR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
2d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$3.00awaiting T+60—$2.85 (−5.17%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.47awaiting T+60—$2.85 (−18.01%)
Sep 1, 2026
7w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$5.16awaiting T+60—$2.85 (−44.86%)
Aug 15, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$5.00awaiting T+60—$2.85 (+43.10%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$5.01awaiting T+60—$2.85 (+43.21%)
Jul 31, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$5.01awaiting T+60—$2.85 (+43.21%)
Jun 30, 2026
16w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$5.36 $4.07▼ −24.07%▼ −27.02%$2.85 (−46.92%)
May 8, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$23.38 $22.40▲ +4.19%▲ +9.03%$2.85 (+87.83%)
May 8, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$7.21 $5.22▲ +27.60%▲ +32.44%$2.85 (+60.54%)
Apr 16, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$22.55 $22.94▲ +1.73%▼ −4.41%$2.85 (−87.38%)
Showing 10 of 13

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Report published Jul 31, 2026