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8-K ·Filed Sep 16, 2026

ABAT

AMERICAN BATTERY TECHNOLOGY Co
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001493152-26-042948
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The core risk is the August 27 federal directive banning black mass exports, which represents the majority of ABAT's current revenue. Monitor the company's BIS exception request outcome and any Q1 FY2027 revenue impact. The widening GAAP loss and surging operating expenses also warrant close scrutiny.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
ABAT ▼ -29.91% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +29.91% · α vs SPY +31.12% · entry $2.24 → $1.57
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+26 +28.10% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 16, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.68%
call +2.68% · α +2.56%
$2.18
settled 6w ago
T+5d
+0.45%
call -0.45% · α +0.15%
$2.25
settled 5w ago
T+20d
-29.91%
call +29.91% · α +31.12%
$1.57
settled 13d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

American Battery Technology Company reported fiscal year 2026 revenue of $21.7M, a 407% increase YoY from $4.3M, and achieved positive adjusted gross profit of $1.7M. However, the company reported a GAAP net loss of $73.4M ($0.58 per share), significantly wider than the $46.8M loss in FY2025, driven by a 128% increase in operating expenses to $71.6M. The company ended the year with $49.5M cash and no debt, but faces a material risk from a new federal directive effectively prohibiting black mass exports, which could disrupt the majority of its revenue stream.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.58
est −$0.05 · -1060.0%
Revenue
$21.7M
est $6.8M · +219.7% · +406.8% YoY
Rating
miss
Gross Margin
-14.2%

Key Facts

  • FY2026 revenue increased 407% to $21.7M from $4.3M in FY2025
  • GAAP gross loss improved to ($3.1M) from ($10.6M) in FY2025
  • Adjusted gross profit (non-GAAP) turned positive to $1.7M from ($6.2M) in FY2025
  • GAAP net loss widened to ($73.4M) from ($46.8M) in FY2025, a 57% increase
  • Operating expenses surged 128% to $71.6M from $31.4M in FY2025
  • Cash balance increased to $49.5M from $7.5M; company has zero debt
  • A new federal directive (effective Aug 27, 2026) prohibits black mass exports, threatening the majority of revenue
  • Company has requested an exception from the Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) for the export ban
  • Net loss per share was ($0.58), unchanged from FY2025, despite a 59% increase in weighted average shares outstanding

Financial Impact

Revenue grew 407% to $21.7M, but GAAP net loss widened 57% to ($73.4M). The new black mass export ban threatens the majority of revenue, with no guarantee of an exception.

revenuenet lossoperating expensescash flowregulatory risk

Risk Factors

  • Federal directive effectively banning black mass exports threatens the majority of revenue; BIS exception request outcome is uncertain
  • GAAP net loss widened 57% to ($73.4M) with operating expenses growing 128% to $71.6M, outpacing revenue growth
  • Pre-revenue on the lithium project (Tonopah Flats) with no near-term production timeline; cash burn remains high

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-042948
Document: form8-k.htm0001493152-26-042948
Document: 0001493152-26-042948-index-headers.html0001493152-26-042948
Document: 0001493152-26-042948-index.html0001493152-26-042948
Document: 0001493152-26-042948.txt0001493152-26-042948
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001493152-26-042948
20 reports for ABAT
Performance horizon
44% Hit rate @ T+20 4 of 9 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 11 best @ T+20▲ +37.77%Sep 18, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ABAT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 7, 2026
20d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$2.09awaiting T+20—$1.49 (+28.71%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$2.19awaiting T+20—$1.49 (−31.96%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 5/10
$2.28awaiting T+20—$1.49 (−34.65%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$2.33 $1.45▲ +37.77%▲ +36.86%$1.49 (+36.05%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$2.24 $1.57▲ +29.91%▲ +31.12%$1.49 (+33.48%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$2.36 $1.83▲ +22.46%▲ +24.72%$1.49 (+36.86%)
Aug 25, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 7/10
$2.60 $2.33▼ −10.38%▼ −11.59%$1.49 (−42.69%)
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 7/10
$2.57 $2.33▼ −9.34%▼ −10.35%$1.49 (−42.02%)
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$2.33 $2.18▲ +6.44%▲ +6.32%$1.49 (+36.05%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$2.49 $2.36▼ −5.22%▼ −3.23%$1.49 (−40.16%)
Showing 10 of 20

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Sep 16, 2026