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8-K ·Filed Aug 12, 2026

AADX

Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001628280-26-055948
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The headline GAAP loss is non-operational and driven by IPO-related stock compensation; the core business is growing rapidly with strong backlog visibility. Monitor the Q3 2026 earnings for normalized EPS and margin expansion as IPO charges fade. The FY2026 guidance midpoint of $680M revenue implies ~30% YoY growth, which should support the stock if execution holds.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
AADX ▼ -39.61% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -39.61% · α vs SPY -37.72% · entry $19.11 → $11.54
Next anchor: T+60d in 10d
Latest observation: T+51 -39.64% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.62%
call -1.62% · α -2.32%
$18.80
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-9.63%
call -9.63% · α -9.18%
$17.27
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-39.61%
call -39.61% · α -37.72%
$11.54
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 10d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Applied Aerospace & Defense reported record Q2 2026 revenue of $167.3M, up 47.4% YoY, but posted a GAAP net loss of $154.0M ($1.04/share) driven by $110.1M in stock-based compensation and IPO-related costs. The company guided FY2026 revenue to $670-690M and Adjusted EBITDA to $150-155M, and highlighted a $1.13B backlog and a pro forma net leverage reduction to 2.7x following its $683M IPO. The massive GAAP loss versus a consensus estimate of $0.01 EPS creates a headline miss, but the underlying operational performance (record revenue, 38.5% Adjusted EBITDA growth, strong backlog) is solid, making this a mixed report with a bullish operational core masked by one-time IPO charges.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$1.04
est $0.01 · -10500.0%
Revenue
$167.3M
est $155.2M · +7.8% · +47.4% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
$670M-$690M
initiated
Gross Margin
22.2%

Key Facts

  • Record Q2 revenue of $167.3M, up 47.4% YoY
  • GAAP net loss of $154.0M ($1.04/share) due to $110.1M stock-based compensation and IPO transaction costs
  • Record Adjusted EBITDA of $36.4M, up 38.5% YoY
  • Contract backlog grew to over $1.1B
  • Completed $683M IPO, raising ~$635.6M in net proceeds, reducing pro forma net leverage to 2.7x
  • FY2026 guidance: revenue $670-690M, Adjusted EBITDA $150-155M

Financial Impact

Revenue beat consensus by $12.1M (7.8%), but GAAP EPS of -$1.04 missed consensus of $0.01 by $1.05 due to one-time IPO charges. Adjusted EBITDA of $36.4M implies a 21.8% margin.

revenueepsebitdabacklogdebt leverage

Risk Factors

  • Integration of recent acquisitions could pressure margins or cause execution missteps
  • Dependence on government defense spending and program renewals
  • High share-based compensation may continue to dilute EPS in future quarters
  • Post-IPO lockup expiration could create near-term selling pressure

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Analyst Consensus
85% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-055948
Document: aadx-20260812.htm0001628280-26-055948
Document: 0001628280-26-055948-index-headers.html0001628280-26-055948
Document: 0001628280-26-055948-index.html0001628280-26-055948
Document: 0001628280-26-055948.txt0001628280-26-055948
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-055948
14 reports for AADX
Performance horizon
40% Hit rate @ T+20 2 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +31.58%Jun 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AADX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$18.12 $12.22▼ −32.56%▼ −30.58%$10.28 (−43.27%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$19.11 $11.54▼ −39.61%▼ −37.72%$10.28 (−46.21%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$21.52 $12.39▼ −42.43%▼ −41.51%$10.28 (−52.23%)
Jun 29, 2026
17w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 3/10
$20.73 $18.01▼ −13.12%▼ −12.84%$10.28 (−50.41%)
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$17.54 $23.08▲ +31.58%▲ +29.72%$10.28 (−41.39%)
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$17.54 $23.08▼ −31.58%▼ −29.72%$10.28 (+41.39%)
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
424B4
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$18.60 $23.06▲ +23.98%▲ +25.35%$10.28 (−44.73%)
Jun 3, 2026
20w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$18.60 $23.06▲ +23.98%▲ +25.35%$10.28 (−44.73%)
Jun 3, 2026
20w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$18.60 $23.06▲ +23.98%▲ +25.35%$10.28 (−44.73%)
Jun 3, 2026
20w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$18.60 $23.06▲ +23.98%▲ +25.35%$10.28 (−44.73%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (16h 6m)

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Report published Aug 12, 2026