Central banks RegionEurope Impact Major
IMF expects at least one more 25 bps ECB rate hike in 2026
What happened
The IMF expects at least one more 25 bps ECB rate hike in 2026. This is the latest development from the IMF's outlook on ECB policy.
What it means for markets
This expectation supports the euro and could pressure European bonds, as further tightening signals continued inflation concerns. A change in ECB guidance or data would shift the outlook.
AssetExpectedMove since first report
Euro FXE Expected rate hike supports euro vs dollar
▲ Up
After the next close
Europe stocks VGK Tightening may slow European growth
▼ Down
After the next close
What to watch
- ECB policy meeting decisions
- Eurozone inflation data
Source timeline
- Reuters IMF expects at least one more 25 bps ECB rate hike in 2026