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Biotech Drug Report Generated Aug 18, 2026

TPST-4003

TPST·Tempest Therapeutics
MIXED
Drug Impact Rating6/10
Trial Phase
Preclinical (first-in-human investigator-initiated trial planned; first dosing expected Q4 2026)
Time to Market
Years away at best — approval of a first-in-human in vivo CAR-T for autoimmune disease would need multiple larger trials after the planned ~10-patient IIT; realistically 5+ years or never. Nearest data milestone: H1 2027.
Why 6/10
No regulatory/pivotal binary is scheduled; the nearest hard, company-stated catalysts are first patient dosing of the ~10-patient MG/MS investigator-initiated trial (expected Q4 2026) and initial clinical data (expected H1 2027) on Tempest's lead asset at a ~$19M market cap — early-stage milestones that should dominate the stock but are a tiny first-in-human readout, not a PDUFA/pivotal decision.
Actionable Insight MIXED

Watch for (1) first dosing of TPST-4003 in Q4 2026 and any initial clinical data in H1 2027 — positive data in a single-asset micro-cap could move the stock dramatically; (2) financing events, since cash was only ~$0.8M at Q2 2026 and the company faces a Nasdaq equity-deficiency delisting notice — dilution/survival risk likely precedes any data catalyst. Do not size a position on the $11 single-analyst target without acknowledging the delisting and cash-runway overhang.

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

TPST-4003 is Tempest Therapeutics' (Nasdaq: TPST) lead in vivo CAR-T candidate — a CD7-targeted mRNA/lipid-nanoparticle therapy for autoimmune diseases, initially myasthenia gravis and multiple sclerosis. It is the centerpiece of a company that pivoted from small molecules to CAR-T via a February 2026 all-stock acquisition of Factor Bioscience assets, and it has a July 2026 development collaboration with China's Senlang Biotechnology. The drug has no human data yet: a ~10-patient investigator-initiated trial is expected to begin dosing in Q4 2026 with initial data in H1 2027. The setup is a high-risk binary: the stock (~$1.13, ~$19M market cap) is entirely driven by this early-stage program, but the company had only ~$0.8M of cash at Q2 2026, faces a Nasdaq delisting deficiency notice, and carries significant dilution overhang — so financing risk likely precedes any data catalyst.

How It Works

CAR-T therapy reprograms a patient's own immune cells (T cells) to attack a chosen target. "In vivo" CAR-T skips the expensive lab step used in traditional CAR-T: instead of removing a patient's cells, modifying them in a factory, and infusing them back, the drug is injected as messenger RNA (mRNA) wrapped in tiny fat particles (lipid nanoparticles) that convert the patient's own T cells into CAR-T cells inside the body. TPST-4003 targets CD7, a protein on T cells, to delete the self-attacking T cells that drive autoimmune disease — initially myasthenia gravis (immune attack on nerve-muscle junctions causing weakness) and multiple sclerosis (immune attack on the brain and spinal cord).

Trial Status

No human data yet. Tempest unveiled its in vivo CAR-T platform July 15, 2026 with TPST-4003 as lead candidate, then on July 21, 2026 signed a collaboration with China's Hebei Senlang Biotechnology to run an investigator-initiated trial (IIT) in ~10 patients with myasthenia gravis (MG) or multiple sclerosis (MS). First enrollment/dosing is expected in Q4 2026, with initial clinical data expected in H1 2027 per the Q2 2026 business update.

The Two-Sided Case

▲ Bull Case4
Lead asset of a next-gen platform: TPST-4003 is Tempest's lead in vivo CAR-T, delivered as CD7-targeted mRNA in lipid nanoparticles (CD7-tLNP) — a one-step, potentially cheaper/faster alternative to lab-manufactured (ex vivo) CAR-T (BioWorld, company PR).
Dated near-term catalysts on an ultra-concentrated micro-cap: first dosing expected Q4 2026 and initial clinical data expected H1 2027; at ~$19M market cap and ~$1.13/share (down from a $12.23 52-week high), a positive readout would be a very large percentage move.
Senlang partnership (July 21, 2026) brings a Chinese clinical-stage CD7 CAR-T developer to run the China IIT, spreading cost/execution risk for a cash-poor company.
Analyst support: consensus shows 4 Buy + 2 Strong Buy vs 1 Hold, and the SecBot price-target snapshot shows a mean target of $11 (~873% implied upside, though from a single contributing analyst with a stale reference price).
▼ Bear Case5
Cash crisis: cash fell to ~$0.8M at Q2 2026 from $7.7M at year-end 2025, with a ~$19M market cap — a pre-revenue company this thinly funded will almost certainly need dilutive financing before the H1 2027 data (Q2 2026 earnings release).
Nasdaq delisting risk: May 2026 deficiency letter for stockholders' equity below the $2.5M minimum, plus three board resignations that month — an existential overhang independent of the drug (SEC 8-K coverage in filings cache).
No human data and a tiny 10-patient IIT; first clinical data only in H1 2027, so the whole thesis is an unproven, pre-dosing candidate with high failure risk.
Dilution overhang: multiple S-3 resale registrations and May 2026 warrant-inducement transactions (warrants at $1.73) put roughly 2.4M additional shares (~15% of shares outstanding) over the market.
Thin external coverage: dedicated 'TPST-4003' web searches returned almost nothing — the drug exists mainly in company press releases and trade press, typical of a very early-stage code-only program.

Upcoming Catalysts

  • First patient enrollment/dosing of TPST-4003 IIT in China (expected Q4 2026)
  • Initial clinical data from the ~10-patient MG/MS IIT (expected H1 2027)
  • Likely capital raise / financing given ~$0.8M cash at Q2 2026
  • Nasdaq compliance-plan outcome (deficiency letter May 2026; possible 180-day cure period)
  • Stockholder meeting/charter-amendment vote (adjourned July 27, 2026; reconvened Aug 17, 2026)

Source Filing

The SecBot filing or press-release report that triggered this drug report:

Tempest Therapeutics PRESS-RELEASE TPST ·Originating report

Sources · 9

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1 ir.tempesttx.com2 markets.businessinsider.com3 bioworld.com4 tempesttx.com5 fiercebiotech.com6 factor.bio7 stocktitan.net8 sec.gov9 sec.gov