8-K ·Filed Jul 30, 2026

XPO

XPO, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago SEC0001104659-26-088438
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong beat and record LTL margins suggest accelerating operational momentum. Traders should watch for upward revisions to sell-side estimates and potential guidance on the upcoming earnings call. The lack of explicit forward guidance introduces some uncertainty, but the trajectory is clearly positive.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
XPO ▼ -4.17% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -4.17% · α vs SPY -8.14% · entry $199.26 → $190.95
Next anchor: T+60d in 21d
Latest observation: T+42 +3.22% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 29, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.86%
call +0.86% · α +0.15%
$200.97
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-1.46%
call -1.46% · α -5.08%
$196.35
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-4.17%
call -4.17% · α -8.14%
$190.95
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 21d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

XPO reported Q2 2026 results that significantly exceeded consensus estimates, with adjusted diluted EPS of $1.70 beating the $1.47 consensus by 15.6% and revenue of $2.355B beating the $2.27B consensus by 3.7%. The North American LTL segment drove the outperformance, posting a record adjusted operating ratio of 79.9%, a 300 bps year-over-year improvement, while total revenue grew 13.2% and adjusted EBITDA rose 27.6%. The company did not provide explicit forward guidance, but the strong operational momentum and accelerating free cash flow generation are clear positives for the stock.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$1.70
est $1.47 · +15.7%
Revenue
$2.4B
est $2.3B · +3.7% · +13.2% YoY
Rating
strong beat

Key Facts

  • Adjusted diluted EPS of $1.70 beat consensus of $1.47 by 15.6%
  • Revenue of $2.355B beat consensus of $2.27B by 3.7%
  • North American LTL adjusted operating ratio improved 300 bps year-over-year to a record 79.9%
  • Total revenue grew 13.2% year-over-year to $2.355B
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose 27.6% year-over-year to $434M
  • Operating cash flow was $308M in Q2 2026
  • Company repurchased $70M of common stock and repaid $70M of term loans in Q2

Financial Impact

EPS beat of $0.23 (15.6%) on consensus of $1.47; revenue beat of $85M (3.7%) on consensus of $2.27B

revenueepsoperating margincash flow

Risk Factors

  • European Transportation segment reported an operating loss of $6M, driven by restructuring costs
  • Fuel costs and wage inflation remain headwinds
  • No explicit forward guidance was provided in the release

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Transportation Services
Analyst Consensus
71% bullish (28 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-088438
Document: tm2616097d5_8k.htm0001104659-26-088438
Document: 0001104659-26-088438-index-headers.html0001104659-26-088438
Document: 0001104659-26-088438-index.html0001104659-26-088438
Document: 0001104659-26-088438.txt0001104659-26-088438
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001104659-26-088438
19 reports for XPO
Performance horizon
40% Hit rate 2 of 5 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +6.07%Apr 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for XPO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 15, 2026
16d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$174.41 $179.92▲ +3.16%▲ +0.60%$186.09 (+6.70%)
Sep 9, 2026
23d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$182.34 $175.34▼ −3.84%▼ −3.34%$186.09 (+2.06%)
Sep 3, 2026
29d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$193.10 $180.49▼ −6.53%▼ −5.32%$186.09 (−3.63%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$202.72 $191.93▼ −5.32%▼ −5.12%$186.09 (−8.20%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$199.26 $196.35▼ −1.46%▼ −5.08%$186.09 (−6.61%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$199.26 $196.35▼ −1.46%▼ −5.08%$186.09 (−6.61%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$199.26 $196.35▼ −1.46%▼ −5.08%$186.09 (−6.61%)
Jul 27, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$208.20 $200.97▼ −3.47%▼ −4.55%$186.09 (−10.62%)
Jun 4, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$218.14 $227.65▲ +4.36%▲ +6.92%$186.09 (−14.69%)
Jun 3, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$218.14 $227.65▲ +4.36%▲ +6.92%$186.09 (−14.69%)
Showing 10 of 19

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 59m)

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