8-K ·Filed Aug 5, 2026

VVV

VALVOLINE INC
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed1mo ago SEC0001674910-26-000062
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong beat and raised guidance confirm operational momentum; the stock may rally on this report. However, management noted input cost pressure (lubricants), so monitor the Q4 call for margin trajectory and pricing ability.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d
VVV ▼ -13.93% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -13.93% · α vs SPY -13.32% · entry $36.98 → $31.83
Next anchor: T+60d in 27d
Latest observation: T+39 -13.79% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 5, 07:00 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-3.68%
call -3.68% · α -3.52%
$35.62
settled 8w ago
T+5d
-9.95%
call -9.95% · α -10.30%
$33.30
settled 7w ago
T+20d
-13.93%
call -13.93% · α -13.32%
$31.83
settled 4w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 27d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Valvoline reported strong Q3 fiscal 2026 results with net revenue of $544.6M (+24% YoY) and adjusted EPS of $0.57 (+21% YoY, beating consensus of $0.50 by 14%). The company raised full-year guidance across key metrics, including system-wide same-store sales growth to 7.5%-8% from 5%-6.5%, and adjusted EBITDA to $550-$560M. This continues the momentum from Q2 and underscores resilient demand and effective pricing execution.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.57
est $0.50 · +14.0%
Revenue
$544.6M
est $543.6M · +0.2% · +24.0% YoY
Rating
beat
Guidance
$2.05 - $2.1 billion
raised
Free Cash Flow
$112.3M
Gross Margin
39.5%

Key Facts

  • Q3 net revenue $544.6M (+24% YoY, in line with consensus $543.6M)
  • Adjusted EPS $0.57 (+21% YoY, beat consensus $0.50 by 14%)
  • System-wide same-store sales grew 8.0% (YoY), benefiting from pricing
  • System-wide net store additions of 47 in the quarter (25 franchise, 22 company-operated)
  • Raised FY2026 guidance: SSS growth to 7.5%-8% (from 5%-6.5%), adjusted EBITDA to $550-$560M, adjusted EPS to $1.70-$1.75
  • Year-to-date operating cash flow $284.6M, free cash flow $112.3M (+$92.6M YoY)
  • Voluntary $50M prepayment on Term Loan A reduced total debt to $1.6B

Financial Impact

Revenue growth of 24% and adjusted EPS growth of 21% with upward guidance revision — material positive for valuation

revenueepsadjusted EBITDAsystem-wide same-store salesfree cash flow

Risk Factors

  • Finished lubricant cost inflation may pressure future margins if pricing actions wane
  • Integration of Breeze Autocare (FTC-required divestitures) could create noise in store growth
  • Total debt of $1.6B remains elevated, though cash flow generation is improving

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Miscellaneous Products of Petroleum & Coal
Analyst Consensus
67% bullish (21 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001674910-26-000062
Document: vvv-20260805.htm0001674910-26-000062
Document: 0001674910-26-000062-index-headers.html0001674910-26-000062
Document: 0001674910-26-000062-index.html0001674910-26-000062
Document: 0001674910-26-000062.txt0001674910-26-000062
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001674910-26-000062
4 reports for VVV
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for VVV — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$36.98 $31.83▼ −13.93%▼ −13.32%$30.58 (−17.31%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$38.15 $39.65▲ +3.93%▲ +6.12%$30.58 (−19.84%)
May 18, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$33.24 $37.75▲ +13.57%▲ +11.99%$30.58 (−8.00%)
May 15, 2026
20w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$32.39 $38.14▲ +17.75%▲ +15.63%$30.58 (−5.59%)
Showing 4 of 4

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (37h 52m)

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