8-K ·Filed May 12, 2026

VTGN

Vistagen Therapeutics, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC0001628280-26-033883
8-K context-dependent: Items 8.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The OLE data is incrementally positive for safety but does not salvage the failed PALISADE-3 randomized trial. The stock's next catalyst is PALISADE-4 topline data in Q2 2026 — a binary event that will determine whether fasedienol has a viable path to an NDA. Monitor for PALISADE-4 results and any financing needs given the small market cap.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
VTGN ▼ -54.23% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -54.23% · α vs SPY -58.61% · entry $0.6200 → $0.2838
Entry anchored
May 12, 07:43 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+6.45%
call +6.45% · α +5.88%
$0.6600
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-3.23%
call -3.23% · α -3.30%
$0.6000
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-12.90%
call -12.90% · α -11.18%
$0.5400
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-54.23%
call -54.23% · α -58.61%
$0.2838
settled 8w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Vistagen announced preliminary positive safety and exploratory efficacy data from the open-label extension (OLE) of its PALISADE-3 Phase 3 study of fasedienol for social anxiety disorder. The OLE data showed fasedienol was well-tolerated over up to 12 months of as-needed use, with clinically relevant improvements on anxiety scales over four months. However, the randomized, placebo-controlled portion of PALISADE-3 failed its primary endpoint in December 2025, so this open-label data does not change the drug's regulatory path and the stock's binary risk profile remains tied to the upcoming PALISADE-4 topline results.

Key Facts

  • PALISADE-3 OLE safety data (n=341): fasedienol well-tolerated up to 12 months, 2.6% discontinuation rate due to AEs, no drug-related SAEs.
  • Exploratory efficacy: LSAS mean improvement of 25.4 points at Month 4 (n=228, 56% had ≥20-point improvement); SPIN mean improvement of 12.4 points at Month 4 (n=228, 55% had ≥10-point improvement).
  • The randomized, double-blind portion of PALISADE-3 failed its primary endpoint in December 2025 — no treatment difference vs placebo on SUDS.
  • PALISADE-4 topline data expected in Q2 2026; Phase 2 Repeat Dose Study topline expected in Q3 2026.
  • Market cap is ~$27M with 0% analyst bullish consensus (7 Hold, 3 Sell/Strong Sell).

Financial Impact

No financial figures disclosed in filing. Company is pre-revenue clinical-stage biotech with $27M market cap.

Risk Factors

  • PALISADE-4 may also fail to meet its primary endpoint, mirroring PALISADE-3's failure.
  • Company may need to raise capital to fund ongoing operations, causing dilution.
  • Even if PALISADE-4 succeeds, FDA may require additional trials before accepting an NDA.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (10 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-033883
Document: vtgn-20260512.htm0001628280-26-033883
Document: 0001628280-26-033883-index-headers.html0001628280-26-033883
Document: 0001628280-26-033883-index.html0001628280-26-033883
Document: 0001628280-26-033883.txt0001628280-26-033883
12 reports for VTGN
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +20.40%Jun 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for VTGN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.2676 $0.2432▲ +9.12%▲ +7.13%$0.2847 (−6.39%)
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.2676 $0.2432▼ −9.12%▼ −7.13%$0.2847 (+6.39%)
Jul 31, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.2410 $0.2529▲ +4.94%▲ +1.95%$0.2847 (+18.13%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.2260 $0.2302▼ −1.86%▼ −2.89%$0.2847 (−25.97%)
Jun 17, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.6702 $0.2400▼ −64.19%▼ −64.72%$0.2847 (−57.52%)
Jun 15, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.6900 $0.2461▼ −64.33%▼ −64.53%$0.2847 (−58.74%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.5731 $0.2492▼ −56.52%▼ −58.41%$0.2847 (−50.32%)
Jun 9, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.5351 $0.2492▼ −53.43%▼ −57.05%$0.2847 (−46.79%)
May 19, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.6400 $0.6702▲ +4.72%▲ +3.98%$0.2847 (−55.52%)
May 12, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.6200 $0.5400▼ −12.90%▼ −11.18%$0.2847 (−54.08%)
Showing 10 of 12

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