6-K ·Filed Jul 31, 2026

VALE

Vale S.A.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago SEC0001292814-26-004014
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The revenue and EBITDA beat contrasts with the net income miss, suggesting the earnings decline is financial/legal-driven rather than operational. Monitor analyst revisions and any guidance updates on litigation costs. The new buyback and dividend support the stock, but the profit drop may pressure near-term sentiment.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
VALE ▼ -0.20% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -0.20% · α vs SPY -3.19% · entry $15.06 → $15.03
Next anchor: T+60d in 24d
Latest observation: T+41 -1.68% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 31, 11:57 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-3.27%
call -3.27% · α -4.68%
$14.57
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-2.28%
call -2.28% · α -5.80%
$14.72
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-0.20%
call -0.20% · α -3.19%
$15.03
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 24d

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

Vale reported Q2 2026 results with strong revenue growth (+19% YoY to $10,498M) and improved adjusted EBITDA (+8.6% to $3,676M), but net income fell sharply (-35% to $1,414M) due to negative financial results and higher operating expenses. Separately, the Board approved routine governance changes (Vice Chairman and Lead Independent Director). The mixed financial picture—top-line strength versus bottom-line weakness—creates uncertainty about near-term earnings quality.

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 net operating revenue: $10,498M (vs $8,804M in Q2 2025, +19.2%)
  • Net income attributable to Vale shareholders: $1,375M (vs $2,117M, -35.0%)
  • Basic EPS: $0.32 (vs $0.50, -36.0%)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $3,676M (vs $3,386M, +8.6%)
  • Iron Ore Solutions EBITDA: $3,056M (vs $2,977M, +2.7%)
  • Vale Base Metals EBITDA: $1,289M (vs $721M, +78.8%)
  • Net cash from operations: $4,291M (vs $3,525M, +21.7%)
  • Board elected Reinaldo Duarte Castanheira Filho as Vice Chairman and Wilfred Theodoor Bruijn as Lead Independent Director, effective August 1, 2026
  • Subsequent event: Board approved $1,701M in shareholder remuneration (to be paid Sept 2026)
  • New share buyback program of up to 100M shares approved (subsequent event)

Financial Impact

Revenue grew ~$1.7B YoY in Q2, but net income fell ~$742M due to a net financial loss of -$473M vs +$167M in the prior year, and higher other operating expenses (Brumadinho +$60M, socio-environmental +$282M).

revenuenet incomeEPSadjusted EBITDAoperating cash flow

Risk Factors

  • Brumadinho and Samarco litigation (London claim, Netherlands proceedings) could result in additional provisions
  • Adverse foreign exchange movements and commodity price volatility
  • Uncertainty around railway concession renegotiation with Brazilian government

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Metal Mining
Analyst Consensus
65% bullish (23 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 8 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (VALE) — Batch item 10001292814-26-004014
Document: 0001292814-26-004014-index-headers.html0001292814-26-004012
Document: 0001292814-26-004014-index.html0001292814-26-004014
Document: 0001292814-26-004014.txt0001292814-26-004014
6-K Filing (VALE) — Batch item 50001292814-26-004012
Document: 0001292814-26-004012-index-headers.html0001292814-26-004014
Document: 0001292814-26-004012-index.html0001292814-26-004014
Document: 0001292814-26-004012.txt0001292814-26-004014
21 reports for VALE
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +6.40%Jul 22, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for VALE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 8, 2026
24d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$15.56 $14.61▼ −6.11%▼ −5.44%$13.76 (−11.57%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.72 $13.80▼ −6.25%▼ −7.46%$13.76 (−6.52%)
Jul 31, 2026
9w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$15.06 $14.72▼ −2.28%▼ −5.80%$13.76 (−8.63%)
Jul 31, 2026
9w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$15.06 $14.72▼ −2.28%▼ −5.80%$13.76 (−8.63%)
Jul 31, 2026
9w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$15.06 $14.72▼ −2.28%▼ −5.80%$13.76 (−8.63%)
Jul 27, 2026
9w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.78 $15.06▲ +1.89%▲ +0.82%$13.76 (−6.90%)
Jul 22, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.85 $14.65▼ −1.35%▲ +1.05%$13.76 (−7.34%)
Jul 22, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.85 $14.65▼ −1.35%▲ +1.05%$13.76 (−7.34%)
Jul 22, 2026
10w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$14.85 $14.65▲ +1.35%▼ −1.05%$13.76 (+7.34%)
Jul 21, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.25 $14.78▲ +3.72%▲ +4.95%$13.76 (−3.44%)
Showing 10 of 21

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 13m)

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Try SecBot Free Coming soon: SecBot Pro with alerts, watchlists, and API access