8-K ·Filed May 5, 2026

UFCS

UNITED FIRE GROUP INC
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonimmediate Processed4mo ago SEC0000101199-26-000029
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong beat and improved fundamentals should drive positive price action. Monitor the earnings call for commentary on premium retention, catastrophe loss trends, and any forward guidance on 2026 outlook.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
UFCS ▲ +19.41% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +19.41% · α vs SPY +17.35% · entry $43.01 → $51.36
Entry anchored
May 5, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+8.81%
call +8.81% · α +9.14%
$46.80
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+12.60%
call +12.60% · α +11.47%
$48.43
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+0.40%
call +0.40% · α -2.39%
$43.18
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+19.41%
call +19.41% · α +17.35%
$51.36
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

United Fire Group (UFCS) reported Q1 2026 adjusted operating EPS of $1.16, significantly beating consensus of $0.87 (33% beat). Net income surged 70% YoY to $30.1M, driven by 11% earned premium growth, a 3.8-point combined ratio improvement to 95.6%, and 15% higher investment income. The strong quarter continues the positive momentum from 2025.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$1.16
est $0.87 · +33.3%
Revenue
$369.4M
+11.6% YoY
Rating
strong beat

Key Facts

  • Adjusted operating EPS of $1.16 vs consensus $0.87 (beat by 33%)
  • Net income increased 70% YoY to $30.1 million
  • Combined ratio improved 3.8 points to 95.6%
  • Net written premium grew 12.4% to $376.9 million
  • Net investment income up 15% to $27.0 million
  • Book value per share rose to $37.06 (up 0.5% from year-end)

Financial Impact

Q1 2026 EPS beat of $0.29 vs $0.87 consensus represents a ~33% positive surprise; revenue growth of 11.6% YoY and improved underwriting profitability

net incomeepscombined rationet written premiuminvestment income

Risk Factors

  • Above-average catastrophe losses in future quarters could pressure combined ratio
  • Potential reserve development on prior year claims
  • Competitive pricing environment may slow premium growth

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
Analyst Consensus
75% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000101199-26-000029
Document: ufcs-20260505.htm0000101199-26-000029
Document: 0000101199-26-000029-index-headers.html0000101199-26-000029
Document: 0000101199-26-000029-index.html0000101199-26-000029
Document: 0000101199-26-000029.txt0000101199-26-000029
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000101199-26-000029
8 reports for UFCS
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for UFCS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 17, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$51.09 $54.28▲ +6.24%▲ +1.80%$54.62 (+6.91%)
Jul 17, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$51.09 $54.28▲ +6.24%▲ +1.80%$54.62 (+6.91%)
May 26, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$47.21 $51.39▲ +8.85%▲ +10.80%$54.62 (+15.70%)
May 20, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$48.13 $48.62▲ +1.02%▲ +0.68%$54.62 (+13.48%)
May 5, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$43.01 $43.18▲ +0.40%▼ −2.39%$54.62 (+26.99%)
Apr 21, 2026
23w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$39.46 $49.20▲ +24.68%▲ +19.77%$54.62 (+38.42%)
Apr 21, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$39.46 $49.20▲ +24.68%▲ +19.77%$54.62 (+38.42%)
Apr 7, 2026
25w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$38.94 $39.85▲ +2.34%▼ −6.21%$54.62 (+40.27%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 28m)

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