6-K ·Filed Jul 29, 2026

UBS

UBS Group AG
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001610520-26-000082
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong Q2 results confirm UBS's post-integration earnings power, but the sequential decline in profit from Q1 and the slight CET1 ratio dip warrant monitoring. The accelerated share repurchase program signals management confidence, but the pace will depend on maintaining the ~14% CET1 target. Watch for Q3 net interest income guidance and any updates on Swiss capital requirement deliberations.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
UBS ▲ +5.25% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +5.25% · α vs SPY +0.23% · entry $51.80 → $54.52
Next anchor: T+60d in 20d
Latest observation: T+44 -19.60% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 28, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+3.07%
call +3.07% · α +1.39%
$53.39
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+3.42%
call +3.42% · α -2.11%
$53.57
settled 8w ago
T+20d
+5.25%
call +5.25% · α +0.23%
$54.52
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 20d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

UBS reported strong Q2 2026 results with operating profit before tax up 64% YoY to $3.6bn, driven by a 13% increase in total revenues to $13.7bn, particularly in the Investment Bank and Global Wealth Management. The Credit Suisse integration is nearing completion, with cumulative gross cost savings of $12.6bn achieved. The CET1 capital ratio decreased to 14.4% from 14.7% due to a new $3bn share repurchase reserve and dividend accruals, but remains well above the 14% target. The filing is a routine quarterly update with strong performance, but the sequential decline in Q2 profit from Q1 and the slight capital ratio dip temper the outlook.

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 operating profit before tax was $3.6bn, up 64% YoY from $2.2bn.
  • Total revenues were $13.7bn, up 13% YoY, driven by a 32% increase in Global Markets revenues.
  • Net profit attributable to shareholders was $2.8bn, up 17% YoY.
  • CET1 capital ratio decreased to 14.4% from 14.7% in Q1 2026, due to a new $3bn share repurchase reserve.
  • Cumulative gross cost savings from the Credit Suisse integration reached $12.6bn, with over 90% of legacy IT applications no longer in use.
  • The company plans to repurchase at least $1bn of shares over the next three months under a new $3bn program.
  • Underlying return on tangible equity was 14.3%, up from 13.4% in Q2 2025.

Financial Impact

Q2 2026 operating profit before tax increased by $1.4bn YoY to $3.6bn, with total revenues up $1.6bn to $13.7bn.

revenueoperating profitnet profitCET1 capital ratiocost/income ratio

Risk Factors

  • Integration execution risk in the final decommissioning phase of Credit Suisse IT systems.
  • Potential for higher capital requirements from Swiss parliamentary deliberations on foreign subsidiary capitalization.
  • Geopolitical uncertainty and volatile energy prices could impact client activity and market conditions.
  • Net interest income sensitivity to interest rate movements, with a +100bp parallel shift estimated to increase annual NII by ~$1.5bn.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
National Commercial Banks
Analyst Consensus
56% bullish (25 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001610520-26-000082
Document: 0001610520-26-000082-index-headers.html0001610520-26-000082
Document: 0001610520-26-000082-index.html0001610520-26-000082
Document: 0001610520-26-000082.txt0001610520-26-000082
11 reports for UBS
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for UBS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$53.63 $52.99▼ −1.19%▲ +0.80%$47.78 (−10.92%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$51.80 $54.52▲ +5.25%▲ +0.23%$47.78 (−7.77%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$51.80 $54.52▲ +5.25%▲ +0.23%$47.78 (−7.77%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$51.80 $54.52▲ +5.25%▲ +0.23%$47.78 (−7.77%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$51.80 $54.52▲ +5.25%▲ +0.23%$47.78 (−7.77%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$51.80 $54.52▲ +5.25%▲ +0.23%$47.78 (−7.77%)
May 5, 2026
21w ago
13F-HR
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$44.10 $48.16▲ +9.21%▲ +4.25%$47.78 (+8.33%)
Apr 29, 2026
22w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$42.72 $47.16▲ +10.39%▲ +4.93%$47.78 (+11.83%)
Apr 22, 2026
23w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$42.40 $45.56▼ −7.45%▼ −4.29%$47.78 (−12.68%)
Mar 31, 2026
26w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$38.09 $43.38▲ +13.90%▲ +4.47%$47.78 (+25.43%)
Showing 10 of 11

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