8-K ·Filed Jul 30, 2026

TW

Tradeweb Markets Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago SEC0001758730-26-000132
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The sharp deceleration in revenue growth from Q1's 21.2% to Q2's 9.0% is the key takeaway, especially with unchanged full-year guidance implying no H2 acceleration. Monitor the earnings call for commentary on credit fee compression and whether Q1's elevated volatility-driven volumes were a one-off. The $188.9M in buybacks at ~$99 provides a floor, but the growth deceleration may cap upside near-term.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d
TW ▲ +10.53% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +10.53% · α vs SPY +6.57% · entry $97.80 → $108.10
Next anchor: T+60d in 21d
Latest observation: T+42 -1.47% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 29, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+2.76%
call +2.76% · α +2.06%
$100.50
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+5.64%
call +5.64% · α +2.02%
$103.32
settled 8w ago
T+20d
+10.53%
call +10.53% · α +6.57%
$108.10
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 21d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tradeweb reported Q2 2026 revenue of $558.9M (+9.0% YoY) and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.97 (+11.5% YoY), a 2.5% beat vs consensus. Revenue growth decelerated sharply from Q1's 21.2% pace, with credit revenue growth slowing to 3.3% and rates revenue growth halving to 10.2%. Full-year guidance was left unchanged, signaling management expects no acceleration in H2. The beat was modest and the deceleration is the dominant narrative for traders.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.97
est $0.95 · +2.1%
Revenue
$558.9M
est $559.2M · -0.1% · +9.0% YoY
Rating
in line
Free Cash Flow
$1.1B

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 revenue $558.9M, +9.0% YoY (vs +21.2% in Q1 2026)
  • Adjusted diluted EPS $0.97, +11.5% YoY, vs consensus $0.95 (2.5% beat)
  • Net income $206.7M, +17.8% YoY; adjusted net income $228.1M, +10.7% YoY
  • Total ADV $3.0T, +18.2% YoY, but rates revenue growth slowed to 10.2% from 29.7% in Q1
  • Credit revenue growth slowed to 3.3% from 11.5% in Q1; cash credit fees per million fell 11.4% YoY
  • Full-year 2026 guidance unchanged: adjusted expenses $1.10-1.16B, LSEG market data revenue $105M
  • Share repurchases of $188.9M in Q2 (1.9M shares at avg $99.01); $334.3M remaining authorization
  • Free cash flow TTM $1.08B, +13.0% YoY; cash & equivalents $2.1B

Financial Impact

Revenue deceleration from 21.2% to 9.0% YoY growth; EPS beat of 2.5% vs consensus

revenueepsadvcredit revenue growthrates revenue growth

Risk Factors

  • Revenue growth deceleration from 21.2% to 9.0% YoY signals normalization after Q1's volatility boost
  • Credit revenue growth slowing to 3.3% with cash credit fees per million down 11.4% YoY
  • Unchanged full-year guidance suggests management sees no catalyst for re-acceleration in H2
  • Historical calibration shows prior bullish calls on TW have underperformed significantly (avg -6.27% at T+20)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services
Analyst Consensus
64% bullish (22 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001758730-26-000132
Document: tw-20260730.htm0001758730-26-000132
Document: 0001758730-26-000132-index-headers.html0001758730-26-000132
Document: 0001758730-26-000132-index.html0001758730-26-000132
Document: 0001758730-26-000132.txt0001758730-26-000132
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001758730-26-000132
7 reports for TW
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for TW — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$97.80 $108.10▲ +10.53%▲ +6.57%$102.22 (+4.52%)
May 26, 2026
18w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$100.74 $91.50▼ −9.17%▼ −7.27%$102.22 (+1.47%)
May 20, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$105.54 $98.18▼ −6.98%▼ −7.31%$102.22 (−3.15%)
Apr 29, 2026
22w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$118.12 $100.88▼ −14.60%▼ −20.06%$102.22 (−13.46%)
Apr 15, 2026
24w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$121.96 $109.87▼ −9.91%▼ −15.73%$102.22 (−16.19%)
Mar 26, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$116.57 $111.44▼ −4.40%▼ −17.14%$102.22 (−12.31%)
Mar 18, 2026
28w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$123.44 $121.96▼ −1.20%▼ −7.25%$102.22 (−17.19%)
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 21m)

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