Institutional Cluster

TOST

Toast, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed7mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 2 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Monitor upcoming earnings and guidance for confirmation of fundamental strength; the divergence suggests uncertainty, but sovereign and passive inflows may provide downside support.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
TOST ▼ -15.42% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -15.42% · α vs SPY -24.74% · entry $27.57 → $23.32
Entry anchored
Feb 27, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+5.59%
call +5.59% · α +6.50%
$29.11
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
+6.96%
call +6.96% · α +8.17%
$29.49
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
-5.48%
call -5.48% · α +2.46%
$26.06
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
-15.42%
call -15.42% · α -24.74%
$23.32
settled 4mo ago

Executive Summary

In Q4 2025, three major institutions—Wells Fargo, Norges Bank, and RenTech—accumulated $331.5M in net new positions in Toast, Inc. (TOST), while BofA and Two Sigma trimmed holdings by $104.5M. The mixed signal reflects diverging views between passive/sovereign buyers and exiting quant/passive funds.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$331.5M
Sell Value
$104.5M
Net Flow
$227.0M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $227.0M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Wells FargoDOUBLED+244.4%$136.8M$95.9M
Norges BankNEW+0%$202.8M$202.8M
RenTechADD+40.4%$122.6M$32.8M

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
BofATRIM-31.5%$234.7M-$78.4M
Two SigmaTRIM-35.6%$69.9M-$26.2M

Key Facts

  • Norges Bank initiated a new $202.8M position, the largest single buyer.
  • Wells Fargo doubled down with a $95.9M net increase, indicating confidence in TOST's valuation or sector positioning.
  • RenTech added $32.8M, signaling continued quant interest despite volatility.
  • BofA reduced its stake by 31.5%, exiting $78.4M in value, likely due to portfolio rebalancing or risk management.
  • Two Sigma trimmed $26.2M, reflecting quant model-driven de-risking or profit-taking.

Financial Impact

Net institutional inflow of $227.0M ($331.5M bought, $104.5M sold), representing meaningful ownership shift.

float ownershipinstitutional sentimenttrading volume

Risk Factors

  • Continued outflow from quant funds could pressure shares if momentum turns negative.
  • Lack of broad-based active manager participation limits upside conviction.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE

Investment Themes

Fintech & Payments

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-TOST-2025-Q4
10 reports for TOST
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for TOST — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$34.75 $33.29▼ −4.20%▼ −2.21%—
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.88 $32.45▼ −6.97%▼ −5.91%—
Aug 7, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.48 $33.95▼ −1.54%▼ −1.14%—
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$34.80 $34.04▼ −2.18%▼ −1.58%—
Jul 9, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$28.85 $34.72▲ +20.35%▲ +18.11%—
Jul 6, 2026
12w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$29.48 $32.27▲ +9.46%▲ +10.03%—
May 29, 2026
17w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$27.74 $27.82▲ +0.29%▲ +1.59%—
May 7, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$25.05 $24.64▼ −1.64%▼ −1.66%—
Apr 2, 2026
26w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$26.47 $28.52▼ −7.74%▲ +2.13%—
Feb 28, 2026
30w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$27.57 $26.06▼ −5.48%▲ +2.46%—
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 21m)

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Report published Feb 28, 2026