8-K ·Filed Feb 24, 2026

TMDX

TransMedics Group, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonweeks Processed7mo ago SEC0001193125-26-066953
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The core business growth is very strong with 32-37% revenue growth and expanding full-year gross margins. The significant tax benefit is non-recurring, so future quarters will not see this level of net income. However, the robust 2026 guidance suggests continued strong top-line growth, making this a bullish signal for the stock despite the accounting anomaly in net income.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
TMDX ▼ -48.43% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -48.43% · α vs SPY -55.38% · entry $131.85 → $68.00
Entry anchored
Feb 24, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+2.06%
call +2.06% · α +2.61%
$134.57
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
+11.99%
call +11.99% · α +13.09%
$147.66
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
-20.27%
call -20.27% · α -15.03%
$105.13
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
-48.43%
call -48.43% · α -55.38%
$68.00
settled 5mo ago

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Executive Summary

TransMedics reported strong fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results, with revenue up 32% and 37% respectively, driven by increased utilization of its Organ Care System. Net income surged to $105.4 million in Q4 and $190.3 million for the full year, significantly boosted by a one-time $83.8 million tax benefit from the release of a valuation allowance. The company also provided 2026 revenue guidance of $727-$757 million, representing 20-25% growth.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$605.5M
+37.0% YoY
EPS
$4.87
Guidance
$727M-$757M
raised
Gross Margin
60%

Key Facts

  • Q4 2025 revenue was $160.8 million, up 32% YoY from $121.6 million in Q4 2024
  • Full year 2025 revenue was $605.5 million, up 37% YoY from $441.5 million in 2024
  • Q4 net income was $105.4 million ($2.62 diluted EPS), including an $83.8 million tax benefit
  • Full year net income was $190.3 million ($4.87 diluted EPS), including an $82.8 million tax benefit
  • 2026 revenue guidance is $727-$757 million, representing 20-25% growth over 2025
  • Gross margin was 58% in Q4 2025 (down from 59% in Q4 2024) and 60% for full year 2025 (up from 59% in 2024)

Financial Impact

Revenue growth of 32-37% and 2026 guidance of 20-25% growth indicate strong momentum. The $83.8 million tax benefit significantly inflated Q4 net income, which would have otherwise been $21.6 million.

revenueepsnet incomemarginscash flow

Segment Breakdown

SegmentRevenueGrowth
Net product revenue$372.4M+36.0%
Service revenue$233.1M+39.0%

Risk Factors

  • The substantial net income in Q4 and full year 2025 was heavily influenced by a one-time $83.8 million tax benefit, which is not sustainable
  • Gross margin declined slightly in Q4 2025 to 58% from 59% in Q4 2024 due to higher clinical service and freight costs
  • Forward-looking statements in the filing highlight numerous risks including regulatory, reimbursement, and execution risks for new programs

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-066953
Document: tmdx-20260224.htm0001193125-26-066953
Document: 0001193125-26-066953-index-headers.html0001193125-26-066953
Document: 0001193125-26-066953-index.html0001193125-26-066953
Document: 0001193125-26-066953.txt0001193125-26-066953
CONTEXT: Previous Earnings (2026-02-24)0001193125-26-066953
6 reports for TMDX
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

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Reports for TMDX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jun 12, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$72.91 $88.27▲ +21.07%▲ +17.80%$78.63 (+7.85%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$73.59 $89.98▲ +22.27%▲ +17.88%$78.63 (+6.85%)
Apr 10, 2026
25w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$114.00 $71.12▼ −37.62%▼ −47.95%$78.63 (−31.03%)
Mar 2, 2026
30w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$147.00 $70.46▼ −52.07%▼ −61.39%$78.63 (−46.51%)
Feb 27, 2026
31w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$145.26 $70.46▼ −51.49%▼ −60.88%$78.63 (−45.87%)
Feb 24, 2026
31w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$131.85 $68.00▼ −48.43%▼ −55.38%$78.63 (−40.36%)
Showing 6 of 6

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