8-K ·Filed Aug 17, 2026

TMC

TMC the metals Co Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed1mo ago SEC0001104659-26-097581
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Watch for the public comment period on the draft EIS and draft TCRs, followed by NOAA's final license determination. Monitor potential legal challenges or shifts in U.S. political priorities that could delay or alter the process.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d
TMC ▼ -0.53% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -0.53% · α vs SPY +1.45% · entry $3.77 → $3.75
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+32 +34.98% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 17, 08:37 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+3.98%
call +3.98% · α +4.65%
$3.92
settled 6w ago
T+5d
+25.60%
call +25.60% · α +26.79%
$4.74
settled 6w ago
T+20d
-0.53%
call -0.53% · α +1.45%
$3.75
settled 17d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

NOAA published a Notice of Intent in the Federal Register to prepare an Environmental Impact Statement for TMC's USA-B exploration license application (~122,000 km², ~1.02B tonnes of polymetallic nodules). This is a procedural milestone following NOAA's May 26, 2026 certification of the application, advancing the U.S. regulatory pathway for deep-sea nodule exploration.

Key Facts

  • NOAA published a Notice of Intent to prepare an EIS for TMC USA's USA-B exploration license application under the Deep Seabed Hard Mineral Resources Act.
  • The USA-B application area covers ~122,000 km² with an estimated 1.02 billion tonnes of polymetallic nodules.
  • NOAA certified the USA-B exploration license application on May 26, 2026.
  • TMC is also advancing a consolidated exploration license and commercial recovery permit for the USA-A area, submitted Jan 22, 2026 and deemed fully compliant Apr 28, 2026.
  • 37 peer-reviewed studies have been published based on the company's CCZ dataset.

Financial Impact

No financial figures reported; regulatory milestone with potential to unlock long-term value from ~1.02B tonne nodule resource.

Risk Factors

  • NOAA's EIS process has no statutory deadline; delays are possible.
  • Terms, conditions and restrictions may be more restrictive than anticipated or render exploration commercially unviable.
  • Potential legal challenges by third parties could delay or block the license.
  • Shift in U.S. administration priorities or policy support could affect regulatory outcomes.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Metal Mining
Analyst Consensus
91% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-097581
Document: tm2623371d1_ex99-1.htm0001104659-26-097581
Document: 0001104659-26-097581-index-headers.html0001104659-26-097581
Document: 0001104659-26-097581-index.html0001104659-26-097581
Document: 0001104659-26-097581.txt0001104659-26-097581
8 reports for TMC
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+1▲ +5.99%Aug 13, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TMC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$3.77 $3.75▼ −0.53%▲ +1.45%$3.79 (+0.53%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.01 $3.83▲ +4.49%▲ +2.50%$3.79 (+5.49%)
May 14, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$5.42 $5.34▼ −1.48%▼ −3.59%$3.79 (−30.07%)
May 11, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$5.91 $5.01▼ −15.23%▼ −14.92%$3.79 (−35.87%)
May 7, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$5.70 $6.12▲ +7.37%▲ +4.23%$3.79 (−33.51%)
Mar 27, 2026
27w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$4.27 $5.20▲ +21.78%▲ +9.04%$3.79 (−11.24%)
Mar 20, 2026
28w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.03 $5.66▲ +12.52%▲ +3.21%$3.79 (−24.65%)
Mar 9, 2026
29w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$6.27 $4.41▼ −29.67%▼ −26.86%$3.79 (−39.55%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 22m)

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