8-K ·Filed Jun 30, 2026

STOK

Stoke Therapeutics, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed3mo ago SEC0001193125-26-289409
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01, 8.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The complete enrollment and zero discontinuations significantly de-risk the pivotal readout. Traders should monitor for: (1) any disclosure of baseline characteristics or blinded safety data, (2) enrollment updates on the European cohort, and (3) initiation of the rolling NDA in Q1 2027. The stock is likely to trade on these macro milestones until Q3 2027 data.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
STOK ▼ -20.20% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -20.20% · α vs SPY -23.77% · entry $32.72 → $26.11
Entry anchored
Jun 29, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.03%
call -0.03% · α +0.10%
$32.71
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-0.89%
call -0.89% · α -1.49%
$32.43
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-10.42%
call -10.42% · α -9.39%
$29.31
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-20.20%
call -20.20% · α -23.77%
$26.11
settled 8d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Stoke Therapeutics completed enrollment of 162 patients into the Phase 3 EMPEROR study of zorevunersen for Dravet syndrome, ahead of a Phase 3 data readout anticipated in Q3 2027 and a rolling NDA submission expected to begin in Q1 2027. This de-risks the pivotal trial timeline and sets up a potential U.S. launch by early 2028, though no efficacy or safety data have been released yet.

Key Facts

  • Enrollment of 162 patients into the Phase 3 EMPEROR study of zorevunersen completed across U.S., U.K., and Japan.
  • No patients have discontinued treatment in the study.
  • Phase 3 data readout anticipated in Q3 2027; rolling NDA submission to FDA to begin Q1 2027 and complete H2 2027.
  • Approximately 50 of 162 patients are through 28 weeks (primary endpoint of change in major motor seizure frequency).
  • An additional cohort of ~30 patients in Europe is enrolling with last patient expected in August 2026.
  • Stoke has a strategic collaboration with Biogen (Nasdaq: BIIB) for zorevunersen; Stoke retains U.S., Canada, Mexico rights.
  • Zorevunersen has FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation, Rare Pediatric Disease Designation, and Orphan Drug Designation.

Financial Impact

Enrollment completion and zero discontinuations reduce binary Phase 3 risk, supporting a potential U.S. launch by early 2028 for a first-in-class therapy targeting up to 38,000 patients in key markets (U.S. ~16,000). No financial terms disclosed.

Risk Factors

  • Efficacy or safety failure at Phase 3 readout could wipe out value; the drug has not yet proven it works in a pivotal setting.
  • Regulatory delays or need for additional trials beyond the current plan.
  • Competition from other Dravet syndrome therapies, including ASMs and gene therapies in earlier development.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
94% bullish (18 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-289409
Document: d924679dex991.htm0001193125-26-289409
Document: 0001193125-26-289409-index-headers.html0001193125-26-289409
Document: 0001193125-26-289409-index.html0001193125-26-289409
Document: 0001193125-26-289409.txt0001193125-26-289409
9 reports for STOK
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +12.62%Mar 13, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for STOK — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$33.03 $28.93▼ −12.41%▼ −10.46%$25.91 (−21.56%)
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$31.67 $30.89▲ +2.46%▲ +1.22%$25.91 (+18.19%)
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$31.67 $30.89▲ +2.46%▲ +1.22%$25.91 (+18.19%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$32.72 $29.31▼ −10.42%▼ −9.39%$25.91 (−20.82%)
May 7, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$32.89 $30.01▼ −8.76%▼ −8.78%$25.91 (−21.23%)
Apr 22, 2026
23w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.93 $30.30▼ −13.27%▼ −17.90%$25.91 (−25.83%)
Apr 7, 2026
25w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.87 $32.96▼ −5.48%▼ −14.02%$25.91 (−25.70%)
Mar 13, 2026
29w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$33.19 $35.05▼ −5.60%▼ −2.02%$25.91 (+21.94%)
Mar 10, 2026
29w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$38.35 $34.87▼ −9.07%▼ −8.92%$25.91 (−32.44%)
Showing 9 of 9

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