8-K ·Filed Jul 29, 2026

SMG

SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0000825542-26-000036
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

SMG is executing on its SMG 2.0 strategy with improving leverage and raised guidance, supporting a positive outlook. Monitor Iran conflict impacts on freight/commodity costs and the pace of gross margin recovery toward the 32%+ target. The net leverage trajectory (3.78x) and free cash flow guidance of $275M provide a clear path to investment-grade credit metrics.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d
SMG ▼ -12.77% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -12.77% · α vs SPY -17.79% · entry $70.33 → $61.35
Next anchor: T+60d in 20d
Latest observation: T+44 -22.61% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 28, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-2.87%
call -2.87% · α -4.55%
$68.31
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-5.97%
call -5.97% · α -11.50%
$66.13
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-12.77%
call -12.77% · α -17.79%
$61.35
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 20d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Scotts Miracle-Gro reported Q3 fiscal 2026 non-GAAP adjusted EPS of $2.82, beating consensus of $2.52 by 11.9%, while revenue of $1.172B was slightly above estimates. The company raised its full-year non-GAAP EPS guidance to $4.30-$4.45 (from $4.15-$4.35), reflecting accelerating earnings power and successful margin management despite 90bps gross margin compression from higher freight and commodity costs related to the Iran conflict.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$2.82
est $2.52 · +11.9%
Revenue
$1.2B
est $1.2B · +0.2% · +1.0% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Gross Margin
31.2%

Key Facts

  • Non-GAAP adjusted diluted EPS from continuing operations $2.82 vs consensus $2.52 (+11.9% beat), up 8% YoY from $2.62
  • Revenue $1,172.1M, +1% YoY (consensus ~$1.17B), essentially in line
  • Full-year non-GAAP adjusted EPS guidance raised to $4.30-$4.45 from $4.15-$4.35
  • GAAP diluted EPS $1.75, down 34% YoY due to $63.9M in impairment/restructuring/other adjustments
  • Net leverage ratio improved to 3.78x, down 0.37x vs prior year
  • Gross margin rate GAAP 31.2% (down 90bps), adjusted 31.3% (down 100bps) driven by freight and commodity cost inflation
  • Completed divestiture of Hawthorne business (discontinued ops) on April 8, 2026; classified as held for sale
  • Adjusted EBITDA $246.3M, down 3% YoY; nine-month adjusted EBITDA $686.6M, +5% YoY
  • Free cash flow guidance reaffirmed at $275M for fiscal 2026

Financial Impact

Non-GAAP EPS beat consensus by $0.30 (+11.9%), full-year EPS guidance raised by $0.15 at midpoint; ongoing gross margin pressure partially offset by SG&A leverage and lower tax rate (27-28% vs 29%)

epsrevenuegross marginleverage ratio

Risk Factors

  • GAAP EPS declined 34% due to one-time impairment/restructuring charges, obscuring underlying trend
  • Gross margin compression from higher freight and commodity costs due to Iran conflict
  • Net leverage at 3.78x remains elevated despite improvement; debt reduction is key to equity value
  • Discontinued operations (Hawthorne) generated a $93.3M net loss through nine months

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Agricultural Chemicals
Analyst Consensus
64% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000825542-26-000036
Document: smg-20260729.htm0000825542-26-000036
Document: 0000825542-26-000036-index-headers.html0000825542-26-000036
Document: 0000825542-26-000036-index.html0000825542-26-000036
Document: 0000825542-26-000036.txt0000825542-26-000036
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000825542-26-000036
11 reports for SMG
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for SMG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 15, 2026
17d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$56.09 $52.36▼ −6.65%▼ −7.47%$49.02 (−12.60%)
Sep 11, 2026
21d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$55.91 $51.42▼ −8.03%▼ −8.14%$49.02 (−12.32%)
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$60.59 $59.29▼ −2.15%▼ −2.41%$49.02 (−19.10%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$62.03 $59.55▼ −4.00%▼ −3.59%$49.02 (−20.97%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$66.13 $62.17▼ −5.99%▼ −6.34%$49.02 (−25.87%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$70.33 $66.13▼ −5.97%▼ −11.50%$49.02 (−30.30%)
Jun 4, 2026
17w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$56.83 $61.88▲ +8.89%▲ +11.44%$49.02 (−13.74%)
Apr 29, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$61.73 $62.15▲ +0.69%▼ −2.42%$49.02 (−20.58%)
Apr 22, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$64.33 $62.42▼ −2.97%▼ −4.45%$49.02 (−23.80%)
Apr 20, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$64.37 $65.38▲ +1.57%▲ +0.49%$49.02 (−23.85%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 59m)

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