8-K ·Filed May 5, 2026

SHOP

SHOPIFY INC.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001594805-26-000018
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The Q1 beat and strong guidance reinforce Shopify's growth narrative. Watch for continued GMV acceleration and margin expansion in Q2. The slight deceleration in Q2 guidance (high-twenties vs 34% in Q1) is a minor headwind but within expectations for a seasonally slower quarter.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
SHOP ▲ +13.72% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +13.72% · α vs SPY +10.98% · entry $107.63 → $122.40
Entry anchored
May 5, 07:11 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-2.03%
call -2.03% · α -3.42%
$105.44
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-4.73%
call -4.73% · α -6.71%
$102.54
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+8.71%
call +8.71% · α +3.76%
$117.01
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+13.72%
call +13.72% · α +10.98%
$122.40
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Shopify reported Q1 2026 revenue of $3.17B, up 34% YoY, and operating income of $382M, up 88% YoY, driven by broad-based growth across geographies and merchant sizes. GMV surpassed $100B for the first time in a single quarter, and the company guided Q2 revenue growth at a high-twenties percentage rate, slightly decelerating from Q1's 34%.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.48
est $0.33 · +45.5%
Revenue
$3.2B
est $3.1B · +2.6% · +34.3% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Guidance
high-twenties percentage growth YoY
maintained
Free Cash Flow
$476.0M
Gross Margin
48.8%

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 revenue of $3.17B, up 34% YoY (vs $2.36B in Q1 2025)
  • Operating income of $382M, up 88% YoY (vs $203M in Q1 2025)
  • GMV of $100.7B, up 35% YoY, first quarter above $100B
  • Free cash flow of $476M, up 31% YoY, with 15% FCF margin
  • MRR of $212M, up 16% YoY (vs $182M in Q1 2025)
  • Q2 2026 guidance: revenue growth at high-twenties percentage rate YoY
  • Subscription solutions revenue of $750M, up 21% YoY
  • Merchant solutions revenue of $2.42B, up 39% YoY
  • GAAP net loss of $581M driven by $1.06B in net losses on equity investments (non-cash)
  • Net income excluding equity investments of $360M, up 59% YoY

Financial Impact

Revenue beat consensus by $80M (2.6%) and EPS beat by $0.15 (45.5%)

revenueoperating incomefree cash flowGMVMRR

Risk Factors

  • Q2 guidance implies revenue growth deceleration to high-twenties from Q1's 34%
  • GAAP net loss of $581M due to volatile equity investment mark-to-market
  • Stock-based compensation of $132M, up 16% YoY, dilutes shareholders
  • Transaction and loan losses of $116M, up 55% YoY, reflecting higher credit risk in merchant cash advances

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Prepackaged Software
Analyst Consensus
77% bullish (56 analysts)

Investment Themes

E-commerce & Platforms

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001594805-26-000018
Document: shop-20260505.htm0001594805-26-000018
Document: 0001594805-26-000018-index-headers.html0001594805-26-000018
Document: 0001594805-26-000018-index.html0001594805-26-000018
Document: 0001594805-26-000018.txt0001594805-26-000018
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001594805-26-000018
15 reports for SHOP
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate 5 of 6 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +36.65%Jun 2, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SHOP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$144.24 $141.87▼ −1.64%▼ −1.04%$151.39 (+4.96%)
Aug 2, 2026
8w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$117.01 $147.37▲ +25.95%▲ +24.71%$151.39 (+29.38%)
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$129.17 $150.29▲ +16.35%▲ +11.33%$151.39 (+17.20%)
Jul 8, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$119.22 $144.24▼ −20.99%▼ −17.71%$151.39 (−26.98%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$119.46 $122.40▲ +2.46%▲ +2.88%$151.39 (+26.73%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$121.63 $129.17▲ +6.20%▲ +8.38%$151.39 (+24.47%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$108.09 $125.06▲ +15.70%▲ +14.38%$151.39 (+40.06%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$108.09 $125.06▲ +15.70%▲ +14.38%$151.39 (+40.06%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
PRESS-RELEASE / 8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$112.94 $119.46▲ +5.77%▲ +6.77%$151.39 (+34.04%)
May 8, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$102.54 $110.42▲ +7.68%▲ +7.99%$151.39 (+47.64%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 1m)

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