8-K ·Filed Apr 28, 2026

RLI

RLI CORP
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001104659-26-050354
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

RLI's Q1 showed solid underwriting but a clear earnings decline YoY, with property shrinking and cash flow halved. The A++ upgrade and debt raise strengthen the balance sheet, but the top-line pressure in property and elevated cat losses warrant monitoring. Watch for property market stabilization and casualty growth sustainability in Q2.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
RLI ▲ +26.41% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +26.41% · α vs SPY +22.30% · entry $48.98 → $61.92
Entry anchored
Apr 28, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+1.21%
call +1.21% · α +0.19%
$49.58
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-4.18%
call -4.18% · α -7.29%
$46.94
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+0.68%
call +0.68% · α -5.36%
$49.32
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+26.41%
call +26.41% · α +22.30%
$61.92
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

RLI Corp. reported Q1 2026 operating earnings of $0.83 per share (down from $0.89 YoY) and gross premium growth of 3%, driven by casualty (+10%) and investment income (+15%). Underwriting income was $58M, supported by $35.5M of favorable prior-year reserve development but offset by $16M of catastrophe losses and a higher underlying combined ratio. The 86 combined ratio remains strong, but operating EPS declined 6.7% YoY and property premiums fell 9%, reflecting a competitive market and disciplined underwriting.

Key Facts

  • Operating EPS of $0.83 vs $0.89 in Q1 2025, a decline of 6.7%
  • Gross premiums grew 3% to an undisclosed amount, led by casualty (+10%)
  • Combined ratio of 86, with underwriting income of $58M
  • Favorable prior-year reserve development of $35.5M offset $16M in catastrophe losses
  • Net investment income increased 15%
  • Property segment premiums declined 9% YoY
  • AM Best upgraded RLI Group to A++
  • Issued $300M of 10-year senior notes at 5.375% coupon in late February
  • Operating cash flow of $43M, down $60M YoY due to tax credit purchases and higher paid losses

Financial Impact

Operating EPS declined $0.06 YoY (6.7%); underwriting income of $58M; $300M debt issuance at 5.375%

operatingEpsgrossPremiumscombinedRatiounderwritingIncomeinvestmentIncomecashFlowdebt

Risk Factors

  • Property segment premiums declining 9% with continued rate decreases (hurricane -19%, earthquake -16%)
  • Operating cash flow down $60M YoY to $43M due to tax credit purchases and higher paid losses
  • Competitive pressure from broker-owned facilities and MGAs in casualty and property lines
  • Large surety loss from a prior-period claim could signal volatility in that segment

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
Analyst Consensus
33% bullish (12 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-050354
Document: 0001104659-26-050354-index.html0001104659-26-050354
Document: 0001104659-26-050354.txt0001104659-26-050354
9 reports for RLI
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 4 of 4 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +28.18%May 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RLI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$65.10 $64.90▼ −0.31%▼ −3.69%$56.18 (−13.70%)
Jun 25, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$57.56 $61.16▲ +6.25%▲ +4.99%$56.18 (−2.40%)
Jun 1, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$50.96 $60.66▲ +19.03%▲ +20.60%$56.18 (+10.24%)
May 29, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$50.63 $59.07▲ +16.67%▲ +17.97%$56.18 (+10.96%)
May 14, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$49.88 $54.35▲ +8.96%▲ +9.82%$56.18 (+12.63%)
Apr 28, 2026
22w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$48.98 $49.32▲ +0.68%▼ −5.36%$56.18 (+14.69%)
Apr 22, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$54.94 $52.64▲ +4.19%▲ +8.82%$56.18 (−2.26%)
Mar 26, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$56.32 $51.45▼ −8.65%▼ −21.39%$56.18 (−0.25%)
Feb 19, 2026
32w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$60.81 $58.09▼ −4.47%▼ −0.87%$56.18 (−7.61%)
Showing 9 of 9

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (37h 1m)

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