8-K ·Filed Jul 30, 2026

REPL

Replimune Group, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonimmediate Processed2mo ago SEC0001104659-26-088481
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The advisory committee vote today is the key catalyst. A positive vote would likely lead to accelerated approval and significant stock upside; a negative vote would be a major setback. Monitor the vote outcome and FDA decision timeline.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+20d
REPL ▲ +188.35% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +188.35% · α vs SPY +184.39% · entry $5.41 → $15.60
Next anchor: T+60d in 21d
Latest observation: T+42 -12.19% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 29, 05:17 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+107.02%
call +107.02% · α +106.32%
$11.20
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+137.71%
call +137.71% · α +134.09%
$12.86
settled 8w ago
T+20d
+188.35%
call +188.35% · α +184.39%
$15.60
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 21d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Replimune presented its BLA resubmission for RP1 (vusolimogene oderparepvec, TUDRIQEV) in combination with nivolumab to the FDA advisory committee for advanced melanoma. The IGNYTE Phase 2 data showed a 33.6% ORR (16.4% CR), median DOR of 24.8 months, and a 3-year OS rate of 47.8% with a manageable safety profile. The FDA's initial clinical review had already recommended accelerated approval, making today's advisory committee vote a pivotal catalyst for the stock.

Key Facts

  • IGNYTE Phase 2 ORR: 33.6% (95% CI: 25.8, 42) with 16.4% complete response rate
  • Median duration of response: 24.8 months (95% CI: 14.8, NE)
  • 3-year overall survival rate: 47.8% (median OS 32.9 months)
  • No treatment-related Grade 5 adverse events; mainly Grade 1-2 toxicities
  • FDA clinical review (July 2025) recommended accelerated approval, citing substantial evidence of effectiveness
  • Advisory committee meeting held July 30, 2026; outcome will influence FDA decision

Financial Impact

No financial data in filing; potential approval would be transformative for pre-revenue biotech with $454M market cap

Risk Factors

  • Advisory committee may vote against approval despite positive FDA review
  • FDA is not bound by committee vote and could still reject
  • Confirmatory trial (IGNYTE-3) OS data not expected until 2030, leaving accelerated approval subject to post-market verification

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
57% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-088481
Document: tm2621663d1_8k.htm0001104659-26-088481
Document: 0001104659-26-088481-index-headers.html0001104659-26-088481
Document: 0001104659-26-088481-index.html0001104659-26-088481
Document: 0001104659-26-088481.txt0001104659-26-088481
20 reports for REPL
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate 12 of 16 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +75.56%May 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for REPL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 21, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$14.71 $13.07▲ +11.15%▲ +11.16%$13.04 (+11.35%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$14.05 $13.07▼ −6.98%▼ −6.98%$13.04 (−7.19%)
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.97 $13.11▼ −12.42%▼ −10.43%$13.04 (−12.89%)
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.97 $13.11▼ −12.42%▼ −10.43%$13.04 (−12.89%)
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$15.19 $12.92▼ −14.94%▼ −13.20%$13.04 (−14.15%)
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$15.19 $12.92▼ −14.94%▼ −13.20%$13.04 (−14.15%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.67 $14.77▼ −8.05%▼ −8.96%$13.04 (+4.61%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.67 $14.77▼ −8.05%▼ −8.96%$13.04 (+4.61%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$13.67 $14.77▼ −8.05%▼ −8.96%$13.04 (+4.61%)
Aug 7, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$12.06 $15.04▲ +24.71%▲ +25.11%$13.04 (+8.13%)
Showing 10 of 20

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