8-K ·Filed Aug 7, 2026

REPL

Replimune Group, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001104659-26-092246
8-K context-dependent: Items 8.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

FDA approval removes binary pipeline risk and unlocks first commercial revenue. Watch for early prescription uptake and reimbursement decisions (payer coverage reaching ~80% of lives). Next catalysts: IGNYTE-3 interim OS data and RP2 uveal melanoma/HCC/BTC pipeline readouts. The accelerated approval label includes confirmatory trial risk — a negative IGNYTE-3 result could jeopardize continued approval.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
REPL ▲ +24.71% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +24.71% · α vs SPY +25.11% · entry $12.06 → $15.04
Next anchor: T+60d in 28d
Latest observation: T+38 -104.52% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 6, 07:58 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+13.35%
call +13.35% · α +13.38%
$13.67
settled 8w ago
T+5d
+24.13%
call +24.13% · α +23.73%
$14.97
settled 7w ago
T+20d
+24.71%
call +24.71% · α +25.11%
$15.04
settled 29d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 28d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Replimune announced on August 6, 2026 that the FDA granted accelerated approval for TUDRIQEV (vusolimogene oderparepvec-wtpg) in combination with nivolumab for adults with unresectable advanced cutaneous melanoma who progressed on a PD-1-based regimen. Continued approval is contingent on verification of clinical benefit in the ongoing confirmatory Phase 3 trial IGNYTE-3. This is Replimune's first approved product, validating its RPx platform and opening a ~10,000 addressable-patient market in the U.S.

Key Facts

  • FDA granted accelerated approval for TUDRIQEV (RP1) + nivolumab in advanced melanoma after anti-PD-1 progression
  • IGNYTE trial (n=91 efficacy-evaluable): ORR 24.2%, median DOR 14.1 months, 86.1% of responders had DOR >6 months
  • No grade 4/5 common adverse events; most adverse reactions were grade 1-2 and transient
  • Broad label: no prior BRAF requirement, treat superficial/deep/visceral lesions, retreatment allowed
  • Confirmatory Phase 3 trial IGNYTE-3 (N~400, PFS/OS) is ongoing
  • First revenue expected in next 6 months; TUDRIQEV expected to ship in ~60 days
  • Company has 63,000 sq ft U.S. manufacturing facility; cost of treatment in line with comparable advanced melanoma therapies

Financial Impact

Replimune transitions from pre-revenue biotech to commercial stage; initial revenue expected within 6 months. No revenue or EPS figures provided in filing.

revenuecash_flow

Risk Factors

  • Accelerated approval is contingent on positive confirmatory Phase 3 IGNYTE-3 data (OS primary endpoint)
  • First commercial product — limited experience in sales, manufacturing scale-up, and market access
  • Competition from approved therapies in advanced melanoma (Opdualag, TIL, BRAF/MEK, chemo)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
57% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-092246
Document: tm2622487d1_8k.htm0001104659-26-092246
Document: tm2622487d1_ex99-1.htm0001104659-26-092246
Document: 0001104659-26-092246-index-headers.html0001104659-26-092246
Document: 0001104659-26-092246-index.html0001104659-26-092246
Document: 0001104659-26-092246.txt0001104659-26-092246
20 reports for REPL
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate 12 of 16 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +188.35%Jul 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for REPL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 21, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$14.71 $13.07▲ +11.15%▲ +11.16%$13.04 (+11.35%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$14.05 $13.07▼ −6.98%▼ −6.98%$13.04 (−7.19%)
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.97 $13.11▼ −12.42%▼ −10.43%$13.04 (−12.89%)
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.97 $13.11▼ −12.42%▼ −10.43%$13.04 (−12.89%)
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$15.19 $12.92▼ −14.94%▼ −13.20%$13.04 (−14.15%)
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$15.19 $12.92▼ −14.94%▼ −13.20%$13.04 (−14.15%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.67 $14.77▼ −8.05%▼ −8.96%$13.04 (+4.61%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.67 $14.77▼ −8.05%▼ −8.96%$13.04 (+4.61%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$13.67 $14.77▼ −8.05%▼ −8.96%$13.04 (+4.61%)
Aug 7, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$12.06 $15.04▲ +24.71%▲ +25.11%$13.04 (+8.13%)
Showing 10 of 20

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