Insider Cluster (4 insiders) ·Filed Jun 2, 2026

RDN

RADIAN GROUP INC
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Insider cluster: 4 insiders, $4.5M total
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The incoming CEO's $5.77M open-market purchase is a strong bullish signal, especially given the cluster context (amplifier verified). Monitor for any upcoming strategic announcements or earnings guidance that may have motivated the purchase. The small director sales are routine and do not offset the CEO's conviction.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
RDN ▲ +12.68% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +12.68% · α vs SPY +13.68% · entry $33.67 → $37.94
Next anchor: T+60d due 5w ago
Latest observation: T+57 +8.61% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jun 2, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.21%
call -0.21% · α -0.61%
$33.60
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+3.15%
call +3.15% · α +6.97%
$34.73
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+12.68%
call +12.68% · α +13.68%
$37.94
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
due 5w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

RDN insider cluster shows a strong buy signal from the incoming CEO, Michael Weinbach, who purchased $5.77M in open-market shares at ~$33.90-$34.04, while three directors sold small, routine amounts totaling ~$377K. The CEO's purchases represent ~0.13% of market cap and are a material vote of confidence from the company's new leader, outweighing the trivial director sales.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
buying
Total Value
$5.4M
Insiders
4

Key Facts

  • Incoming CEO Michael Weinbach purchased 170,000 shares in open-market transactions totaling $5.77M at ~$33.90-$34.04 per share.
  • Weinbach also received 335,020 shares in non-cash grants/awards on June 1, 2026.
  • Three directors sold small amounts: Howard Culang ($130K), Noel Spiegel ($175K), and Margaret Leyden ($72K) — total $377K, all routine and immaterial.
  • Net insider buying of $5.4M (buys minus sells) represents ~0.12% of RDN's $4.5B market cap.
  • RDN has 73% analyst bullishness (8 Buy, 3 Hold) and recent insider activity shows $5.8M in buys vs $558K in sells over the past 30 days.

Financial Impact

CEO purchased $5.77M of stock at ~$33.90-$34.04; total cluster net buying ~$5.4M, or ~0.12% of market cap.

insider ownershipmarket confidence

Risk Factors

  • CEO purchases are a one-time event and may not repeat; future insider selling could reverse the signal.
  • The company's business (surety insurance) is cyclical and sensitive to housing market conditions.
  • Historical calibration shows score-6 filings on RDN have only a 31% probability of positive T+20 returns, suggesting caution on over-weighting this signal.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Surety Insurance
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-RDN-1780520380414
13 reports for RDN
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate 3 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +13.80%Jun 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RDN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 7, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$36.50 $36.05▼ −1.23%▼ −0.32%$32.21 (−11.75%)
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$36.26 $36.81▼ −1.52%▼ −0.92%$32.21 (+11.17%)
Jun 23, 2026
14w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$35.61 $38.87▲ +9.15%▲ +7.99%$32.21 (−9.55%)
Jun 5, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$33.56 $38.19▲ +13.80%▲ +12.16%$32.21 (−4.02%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$33.67 $37.94▲ +12.68%▲ +13.68%$32.21 (−4.34%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$33.67 $37.94▲ +12.68%▲ +13.68%$32.21 (−4.34%)
Jun 1, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$33.79 $37.72▲ +11.63%▲ +13.20%$32.21 (−4.68%)
May 29, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$33.89 $37.81▲ +11.56%▲ +13.35%$32.21 (−4.96%)
May 26, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$35.04 $37.00▲ +5.58%▲ +7.48%$32.21 (−8.09%)
May 21, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$36.06 $35.28▼ −2.15%▼ −0.74%$32.21 (−10.67%)
Showing 10 of 13

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Report published Jun 3, 2026