Insider Cluster (4 insiders) ·Filed Jun 2, 2026

RDN

RADIAN GROUP INC
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Insider cluster: 4 insiders, $4.5M total
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The CEO-elect's $5.77M open-market purchase is a strong bullish signal from incoming leadership, especially given the 100% win rate on prior RDN reports. Monitor for any upcoming strategic announcements or earnings guidance that may have motivated the purchase. Director sales are negligible and should be ignored.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
RDN ▲ +12.68% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +12.68% · α vs SPY +13.68% · entry $33.67 → $37.94
Next anchor: T+60d due 5w ago
Latest observation: T+57 +8.61% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jun 2, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.21%
call -0.21% · α -0.61%
$33.60
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+3.15%
call +3.15% · α +6.97%
$34.73
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+12.68%
call +12.68% · α +13.68%
$37.94
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
due 5w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

RDN's CEO-elect Michael Weinbach made two large open-market purchases totaling ~$5.77M at ~$33.89-$34.04 per share over June 1-2, 2026, while three directors sold small positions totaling ~$377K. The CEO-elect's buys represent ~0.13% of market cap and are the dominant signal by dollar value, suggesting strong conviction from incoming leadership. Director sales are routine in size and likely liquidity-driven.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
buying
Total Value
$6.1M
Insiders
4

Key Facts

  • CEO-elect Weinbach purchased 170,000 shares for ~$5.77M in two open-market transactions on June 1-2, 2026
  • Three directors sold a combined ~10,500 shares for ~$377K over May 26-29, 2026
  • Total insider cluster value: ~$6.15M; net direction is buying by a 15:1 dollar ratio
  • CEO-elect purchases represent ~0.13% of RDN's $4.5B market cap
  • Director sales are small and routine, likely for diversification or tax planning

Financial Impact

CEO-elect invested ~$5.77M of personal capital at ~$33.89-$34.04/share, representing ~0.13% of market cap

insider ownershipmanagement confidence signal

Risk Factors

  • CEO-elect purchases are a single data point; the stock may not react immediately
  • Director sales, while small, could indicate insider caution at higher prices
  • No accompanying corporate event (earnings, guidance, M&A) was filed in the same window to explain the buying

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Surety Insurance
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-RDN-1780436984791
13 reports for RDN
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate 3 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +13.80%Jun 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RDN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 7, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$36.50 $36.05▼ −1.23%▼ −0.32%$32.21 (−11.75%)
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$36.26 $36.81▼ −1.52%▼ −0.92%$32.21 (+11.17%)
Jun 23, 2026
14w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$35.61 $38.87▲ +9.15%▲ +7.99%$32.21 (−9.55%)
Jun 5, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$33.56 $38.19▲ +13.80%▲ +12.16%$32.21 (−4.02%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$33.67 $37.94▲ +12.68%▲ +13.68%$32.21 (−4.34%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$33.67 $37.94▲ +12.68%▲ +13.68%$32.21 (−4.34%)
Jun 1, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$33.79 $37.72▲ +11.63%▲ +13.20%$32.21 (−4.68%)
May 29, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$33.89 $37.81▲ +11.56%▲ +13.35%$32.21 (−4.96%)
May 26, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$35.04 $37.00▲ +5.58%▲ +7.48%$32.21 (−8.09%)
May 21, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$36.06 $35.28▼ −2.15%▼ −0.74%$32.21 (−10.67%)
Showing 10 of 13

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Report published Jun 2, 2026