Institutional Cluster

RARE

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 5 buyers, 3 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The cluster is dominated by mega-passive managers (Fidelity, State Street, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo) whose moves likely reflect index rebalancing or passive fund flows rather than a shared active catalyst. The active signals are mixed: Citadel's large addition (+780%) is notable but small in absolute dollars ($8.6M), while D.E. Shaw and RenTech both trimmed meaningfully. Monitor for a subsequent 13F filing or a company catalyst (e.g., pipeline update) that could explain the divergence. The 88% win rate on prior RARE reports suggests the stock has been responsive to signals, but this cluster lacks a clear active thesis.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
RARE ▼ -36.20% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -36.20% · α vs SPY -40.59% · entry $23.98 → $15.30
Entry anchored
Jun 10, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+1.54%
call +1.54% · α +1.00%
$24.35
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+12.22%
call +12.22% · α +11.78%
$26.91
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+44.33%
call +44.33% · α +42.44%
$34.61
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-36.20%
call -36.20% · α -40.59%
$15.30
settled 24d ago

Executive Summary

A mixed institutional cluster in Ultragenyx (RARE) for Q3 2025 shows $368.2M in aggregate buying by 5 institutions (led by Fidelity doubling its stake to $219.1M) against $55.2M in selling by 3 institutions (led by Norges Bank's full exit of $35.8M). The buying is dominated by mega-passive managers (State Street, Fidelity, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo) and one quant (Citadel), while the selling includes two quants (D.E. Shaw, RenTech) and a sovereign fund — suggesting passive rebalancing/accumulation rather than a strong active conviction thesis.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$368.2M
Sell Value
$55.2M
Net Flow
$99.6M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $99.6M

▲ Buyers (5)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
FidelityDOUBLED+179.6%$219.1M$124.4M
State StreetADD+43.6%$111.1M$17.5M
Morgan StanleyADD+42.5%$27.4M$4.1M
CitadelDOUBLED+779.6%$10.0M$8.6M
Wells FargoADD+43.1%$750.0K$116.0K

▼ Sellers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Norges BankEXIT-100%$35.8M-$35.8M
D.E. ShawTRIM-56.1%$19.7M-$12.5M
RenTechNEAR_EXIT-89.5%$7.6M-$6.9M

Key Facts

  • 5 buyers accumulated $154.8M net, led by Fidelity (DOUBLED to $219.1M) and State Street (ADD to $111.1M)
  • 3 sellers reduced $55.2M, led by Norges Bank (full EXIT of $35.8M), D.E. Shaw (TRIM -56.1%), and RenTech (NEAR_EXIT -89.5%)
  • Citadel (quant) DOUBLED its position by +779.6% to $10.0M, a notable active addition
  • All 5 buyers are mega-passive or quant; no activist or concentrated active value funds participated
  • The cluster is dominated by passive/index rebalancing, weakening the signal of a shared active thesis

Financial Impact

5 institutions accumulated $368.2M in current holdings (net change +$154.8M) while 3 institutions reduced holdings by $55.2M

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been unwound since quarter-end
  • Passive-dominated buying provides no fundamental catalyst read-through
  • Two quants (D.E. Shaw, RenTech) and a sovereign fund sold, indicating possible risk-off or thesis abandonment

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (25 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-RARE-2025-Q3
12 reports for RARE
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate 5 of 6 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +48.73%Apr 2, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RARE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 2, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$14.85 $15.22▼ −2.49%▼ −3.68%—
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$26.53 $15.03▼ −43.35%▼ −43.02%—
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$26.80 $14.31▼ −46.60%▼ −45.55%—
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$24.93 $26.53▲ +6.42%▲ +7.02%—
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$25.81 $25.81· 0.00%▲ +1.24%—
Jun 15, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$24.85 $32.03▲ +28.89%▲ +28.69%—
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$23.98 $34.61▲ +44.33%▲ +42.44%—
May 5, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$25.93 $22.41▲ +13.57%▲ +16.36%—
May 1, 2026
22w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$24.77 $22.85▼ −7.75%▼ −13.04%—
Apr 2, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$22.45 $24.69▲ +9.98%▲ +0.10%—
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (38h 30m)

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Report published Jun 11, 2026