The C-suite cluster buying is a textbook bullish signal per academic literature, but the dollar amount is too small to move the stock. The poor historical track record of OI insider signals (0% win rate, -14% avg T+20 return) suggests the market has been consistently wrong — this could mean the stock is oversold and the insiders are correctly timing a bottom, or that OI's insider signals are noise. Given the trivial size, treat this as a modest positive data point but not a trade trigger. Monitor for additional insider buying or a catalyst (earnings, debt restructuring) that could confirm the signal.
Price Chart
Executive Summary
Three O-I Glass executives (CFO, GC, and Chief Admin Officer) made open-market purchases totaling ~$148K over a 4-day window, with the CFO and GC buying at ~$9.04-$9.07 on May 11 and the CAO buying ~$102K at $9.32 on May 8. This cluster of C-suite buying is a strong signal per academic literature, but the total dollar value is only ~0.01% of OI's $1.4B market cap, making it trivial in scale. The historical performance on OI reports is poor (0% win rate at T+20, avg -14% return), and the score calibration shows that even score-6+ reports on this segment have only a ~30% chance of being correct, suggesting the market has been consistently wrong-footed by OI insider signals.
Key Financial Metrics
Key Facts
- Three C-suite executives made open-market purchases totaling ~$148K: CFO Haudrich ($20K), GC Abrahams ($25K), and CAO Burns ($102K).
- Total insider buying is ~0.01% of OI's $1.4B market cap — trivial in scale.
- All three purchases occurred between May 8 and May 11, 2026, at prices between $9.04 and $9.32.
- Four directors also received non-cash stock grants of 18,038 shares each on May 14, 2026 — these are compensation, not market signals.
- Historical reports on OI have a 0% win rate at T+20 with an average -14% return, indicating the stock has consistently moved against prior insider signals.
- Score calibration data shows that even score-6+ reports on this filing type have only ~30% observed probability of being correct at T+20.
Financial Impact
~$148K in insider purchases, representing ~0.01% of OI's $1.4B market cap
Risk Factors
- Insider buying at ~0.01% of market cap is too small to be a reliable signal — insiders may be making token purchases for optics.
- Historical OI reports show 0% win rate at T+20 with -14% average return — the stock has consistently moved against prior insider signals.
- Score calibration shows only ~30% probability of a positive T+20 outcome for score-6+ reports on this segment.
- The four director stock grants on May 14 are non-cash compensation and carry no informational content.
Market Snapshot
Documents Analyzed
This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.
| Document | Accession Number |
|---|---|
| CLUSTER Data (Synthetic) | cluster-OI-1778879454622 |
Track record builds as more directional reports settle.
Filters
| Type | Now | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
May 19, 2026 19w ago | Insider Cluster | $8.94 $6.79 | ▼ −24.05% | ▼ −29.05% | $5.63 (−37.02%) |
May 18, 2026 19w ago | 8-K | $8.60 $6.84 | ▲ +20.47% | ▲ +26.76% | $5.63 (+34.53%) |
May 15, 2026 19w ago | Insider Cluster | $8.35 $6.75 | ▼ −19.16% | ▼ −24.01% | $5.63 (−32.57%) |
May 12, 2026 20w ago | Insider Cluster | $8.98 $7.03 | ▼ −21.71% | ▼ −26.15% | $5.63 (−37.31%) |
May 12, 2026 20w ago | Insider Cluster | $8.35 $6.75 | ▼ −19.16% | ▼ −24.01% | $5.63 (−32.57%) |
May 12, 2026 20w ago | Insider Cluster | $8.98 $7.03 | ▼ −21.71% | ▼ −26.15% | $5.63 (−37.31%) |
May 12, 2026 20w ago | Insider Cluster | $8.98 $7.03 | ▼ −21.71% | ▼ −26.15% | $5.63 (−37.31%) |
Apr 1, 2026 26w ago | Press Release | $10.35 $9.63 | ▼ −6.96% | ▼ −21.12% | $5.63 (−45.60%) |
Mar 5, 2026 30w ago | 8-K | $11.38 $8.23 | ▼ −27.68% | ▼ −40.46% | $5.63 (−50.53%) |
Feb 25, 2026 31w ago | 8-K | $12.88 $8.94 | ▼ −30.59% | ▼ −37.54% | $5.63 (−56.29%) |
US Market Status
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