Institutional Cluster

MTG

MGIC INVESTMENT CORP
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 16 buyers, 22 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The divergence between active manager buying (Franklin, Assenagon, Mackenzie) and sovereign/asset-manager selling (Norges, Clearbridge) creates uncertainty. Monitor next earnings for credit-loss trends and buyback activity — the cluster suggests no consensus catalyst. The historical calibration shows negative T+20 alpha for this segment; the mixed signal with net selling warrants caution.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
MTG ▲ +13.73% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +13.73% · α vs SPY +11.98% · entry $26.30 → $29.91
Entry anchored
Jun 18, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.72%
call +0.72% · α +2.17%
$26.49
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+5.86%
call +5.86% · α +7.92%
$27.84
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+12.05%
call +12.05% · α +12.20%
$29.47
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
+13.73%
call +13.73% · α +11.98%
$29.91
settled 16d ago

Executive Summary

Institutional activity in MTG during 2026-Q1 was mixed: 16 buyers accumulated $52.4M in new holdings (led by Franklin Resources, Assenagon, and Mackenzie Financial), while 22 sellers reduced positions by $174.1M, dominated by Norges Bank's full exit ($96.2M) and Clearbridge's $39.0M trim. The net selling pressure of ~$121.7M and lack of insider buying suggest cautious positioning despite some active managers doubling down.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$176.3M
Sell Value
$174.1M
Net Flow
-$121.7M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$121.7M

▲ Buyers (16)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Franklin ResourcesADD+41.4%$89.1M$19.0M
Assenagon Asset ManagementDOUBLED+239.1%$12.1M$8.1M
Mackenzie FinancialDOUBLED+171.2%$7.2M$4.2M

▼ Sellers (22)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Norges BankEXIT-100%$96.2M-$96.2M
Clearbridge InvestmentsTRIM-25.7%$117.2M-$39.0M
Wealth Enhancement Advisory ServicesTRIM-41.4%$46.9M-$22.7M

Key Facts

  • 16 institutional buyers added $52.4M in net new holdings; 22 sellers reduced by $174.1M
  • Norges Bank fully exited a $96.2M position — largest single move
  • Clearbridge trimmed 25.7% of its stake, reducing by $39.0M
  • Franklin Resources added $19.0M (+41.4% shares) — largest buyer
  • Assenagon more than tripled its position (+239.1%, +$8.1M)
  • No open-market insider buying; 2 insider sells totaling $1.3M in prior 30 days
  • Net institutional selling of ~$121.7M represents ~2.2% of $5.5B market cap

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of ~$121.7M (buyers added $52.4M, sellers reduced $174.1M)

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Norges Bank's full exit may signal a macro or sector concern not yet priced
  • Clearbridge's large trim reduces a key institutional holder's conviction
  • No insider buying corroborates the institutional selling pressure
  • Historical calibration shows negative average alpha at T+20 for this filing type

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Surety Insurance
Analyst Consensus
7% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-MTG-2026-Q1
6 reports for MTG
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for MTG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$30.35 $30.87▲ +1.71%▲ +2.77%—
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$30.26 $31.47▲ +4.00%▲ +3.40%—
Jul 23, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$28.96 $30.71▲ +6.04%▲ +2.73%—
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$28.23 $30.45▲ +7.86%▲ +8.28%—
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$26.30 $29.47▲ +12.05%▲ +12.20%—
Apr 1, 2026
26w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$26.11 $29.13▼ −11.57%▼ −1.84%—
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 51m

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Report published Jun 22, 2026