8-K ·Filed Jul 30, 2026

MSTR

Strategy Inc
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago SEC0001628280-26-051027
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The massive GAAP loss will likely pressure MSTR common stock in the near term, but the company's focus on bitcoin accumulation and balance sheet management (debt reduction, USD Reserve, buyback authorization) may provide a floor. Monitor bitcoin price action and any further ATM issuance or STRC repurchases for signals on capital allocation discipline.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
MSTR ▲ +7.21% at T+5d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -7.21% · α vs SPY -3.70% · entry $93.28 → $100.01
Next anchor: T+20d due 5w ago
Latest observation: T+28 -49.23% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 30, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+1.69%
call -1.69% · α -0.27%
$94.86
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+7.21%
call -7.21% · α -3.70%
$100.01
settled 8w ago
T+20d
—
call — · α —
—
due 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 21d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Strategy Inc reported Q2 2026 GAAP net loss of $8.22B (-$24.45/share) vs consensus of $52.04/share, a massive miss driven by $8.32B unrealized loss on bitcoin holdings amid a meaningful BTC price decline. Revenue grew 6.9% YoY to $122.4M, but the headline loss overshadows operational progress. The company highlighted balance sheet strengthening: bitcoin holdings grew 11% to 846,000 BTC, convertible debt reduced by 18%, USD Reserve increased to $3.75B, and a $1B MSTR buyback program was established (no repurchases to date).

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-24.45
est $52.04 · -147.0%
Revenue
$122.4M
+6.9% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Gross Margin
66.6%

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 net loss of $8.22B vs net income of $10.02B in Q2 2025
  • GAAP diluted EPS of -$24.45 vs consensus of $52.04 (147% miss)
  • Total revenue $122.4M (+6.9% YoY); subscription services revenue $62.9M (+54% YoY)
  • Unrealized loss on digital assets of $8.32B in Q2 2026
  • Bitcoin holdings grew to 843,775 BTC (25% YTD growth); BTC Yield 4.5% YTD
  • ATM offerings raised $8.41B in Q2 2026; $17.06B raised YTD
  • Repurchased $1.50B principal of convertible notes at 8% discount; reduced total convertible debt to $6.71B
  • Established $1.0B MSTR repurchase program (no repurchases to date)
  • Repurchased $28.9M notional of STRC at 13% discount to par
  • USD Reserve grew to $3.75B (2.1 years of dividend/interest coverage)
  • BTC Monetization Program: $218.4M BTC sales YTD to fund preferred dividends

Financial Impact

GAAP net loss of $8.22B, primarily non-cash unrealized loss on bitcoin; core software revenue grew modestly

net incomeepsdigital assets carrying valuecash and equivalents

Risk Factors

  • Further bitcoin price decline could trigger additional unrealized losses and strain the USD Reserve
  • Continued dilution from ATM offerings may pressure per-share metrics
  • Preferred dividend obligations ($400.7M in Q2) require ongoing cash generation or BTC sales

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (25 analysts)

Investment Themes

Crypto & Blockchain

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-051027
Document: mstr-20260730.htm0001628280-26-051027
Document: 0001628280-26-051027-index-headers.html0001628280-26-051027
Document: 0001628280-26-051027-index.html0001628280-26-051027
Document: 0001628280-26-051027.txt0001628280-26-051027
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-051027
34 reports for MSTR
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 6 of 6 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +17.41%Mar 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MSTR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 14, 2026
18d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$136.94 $168.50▲ +23.05%▲ +22.94%$169.71 (+23.93%)
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$124.88 $132.70▲ +6.26%▲ +6.18%$169.71 (+35.90%)
Aug 31, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$132.94 $136.52▲ +2.69%▲ +2.83%$169.71 (+27.66%)
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$122.63 $132.94▲ +8.41%▲ +7.94%$169.71 (+38.39%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$97.68 $122.63▲ +25.54%▲ +26.73%$169.71 (+73.74%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$97.33 $97.68▲ +0.36%▲ +0.41%$169.71 (+74.37%)
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$94.86 $97.33▲ +2.60%▲ +0.58%$169.71 (+78.91%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$93.28 $100.01▼ −7.21%▼ −3.70%$169.71 (−81.94%)
Jul 27, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$98.65 $93.28▼ −5.44%▼ −6.52%$169.71 (+72.03%)
Jul 20, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$97.82 $91.67▼ −6.29%▼ −5.86%$169.71 (+73.49%)
Showing 10 of 34

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