8-K ·Filed May 8, 2026

MGEE

MGE ENERGY INC
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed4mo ago SEC0001193125-26-214717
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor for use of proceeds and potential EPS dilution. The forward sale structure delays full dilution but creates overhang for the next 20 months. Watch for any acceleration events or early settlement that would crystallize dilution.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
MGEE ▲ +4.24% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -4.24% · α vs SPY -4.54% · entry $73.83 → $76.96
Next anchor: T+60d due 8w ago
Latest observation: T+57 -7.82% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
May 8, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+1.99%
call -1.99% · α -2.13%
$75.30
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+1.58%
call -1.58% · α -1.67%
$75.00
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+4.24%
call -4.24% · α -4.54%
$76.96
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
due 8w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

MGE Energy files final underwriting agreement for a $250M common stock offering of 3.3M shares (990,099 direct + 2.3M via forward sale agreements) at $75.75 per share, priced 6.4% below the prior close. The offering represents ~8.4% dilution at full physical settlement of forwards, with proceeds earmarked for general corporate purposes including debt repayment and capex.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$250.0M
Deal Type
other

Key Facts

  • Offering of 3,300,331 shares total (990,099 direct + 2,310,232 via forward sale agreements) at $75.75/share
  • Gross proceeds ~$250M; net proceeds to MGE ~$240.6M before expenses
  • Forward sale agreements settle no later than ~20 months, creating ongoing dilution overhang
  • Underwriters granted 30-day option to purchase an additional 495,049 shares
  • Proceeds used for debt repayment, capex, and general corporate purposes

Financial Impact

~$250M gross proceeds, ~8.4% dilution at full physical settlement of forwards

dilutionepsdebtshare count

Risk Factors

  • Immediate ~8.4% dilution upon full physical settlement of forwards
  • Stock price pressure from large secondary offering
  • Potential for further dilution if underwriters exercise greenshoe option

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Electric, Gas & Sanitary Services
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-214717
Document: mgee-ex10_3.htm0001193125-26-214717
Document: mgee-ex10_1.htm0001193125-26-214717
11 reports for MGEE
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +1.66%May 6, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MGEE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$78.66 $72.86▼ −7.37%▼ −6.85%$70.77 (−10.03%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$80.21 $77.01▼ −3.99%▼ −3.39%$70.77 (−11.77%)
May 8, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$73.83 $76.96▲ +4.24%▲ +4.54%$70.77 (−4.14%)
May 8, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$73.83 $76.96▼ −4.24%▼ −4.54%$70.77 (+4.14%)
May 6, 2026
21w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$74.65 $73.41▲ +1.66%▲ +4.80%$70.77 (+5.20%)
May 5, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$80.75 $74.40▼ −7.86%▼ −12.82%$70.77 (−12.36%)
Apr 23, 2026
23w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$80.55 $75.82▼ −5.87%▼ −10.51%$70.77 (−12.14%)
Apr 2, 2026
26w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$78.81 $80.22▲ +1.79%▼ −8.09%$70.77 (−10.20%)
Apr 2, 2026
26w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$78.81 $80.22▲ +1.79%▼ −8.09%$70.77 (−10.20%)
Feb 24, 2026
31w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$81.09 $76.21▼ −6.02%▼ −0.78%$70.77 (−12.73%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (38h 33m)

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