8-K ·Filed Apr 22, 2026

MCO

MOODYS CORP /DE/
BEARISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonimmediate Processed5mo ago SEC0001628280-26-026383
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The EPS miss and lowered guidance outweigh the strong revenue growth, indicating margin pressures. The tax reserve disclosure adds to concerns. Monitor upcoming quarters for margin performance and tax issue resolution.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
MCO ▲ +9.46% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -9.46% · α vs SPY -4.68% · entry $466.72 → $510.86
Entry anchored
Apr 21, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-3.08%
call +3.08% · α +2.69%
$452.35
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-2.69%
call +2.69% · α +2.75%
$454.15
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-6.91%
call +6.91% · α +10.07%
$434.49
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+9.46%
call -9.46% · α -4.68%
$510.86
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Moody's reported Q1 2026 earnings that missed EPS expectations ($3.73 vs. $4.22 consensus) and lowered full-year EPS guidance to $16.00-$16.60 from $15.00-$15.60, despite reaffirming revenue growth. The company also disclosed a $34 million reserve for an international non-income tax obligation.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$3.73
est $4.22 · -11.6%
Revenue
$2.1B
est $2.1B · +0.9% · +8.0% YoY
Rating
miss
Free Cash Flow
$844.0M

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 EPS was $3.73, missing consensus of $4.22
  • Full-year EPS guidance lowered to $16.00-$16.60 from $15.00-$15.60
  • Revenue of $2.079B met expectations
  • Company disclosed a $34 million reserve for an international non-income tax obligation
  • Named Christina Kosmowski as CEO of Moody's Analytics effective June 2026

Financial Impact

EPS miss of $0.49 and lowered full-year guidance

epsguidanceearnings

Risk Factors

  • Lowered EPS guidance
  • EPS miss
  • New tax reserve disclosure

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Services-Consumer Credit Reporting, Collection Agencies
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (30 analysts)

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-026383
Document: mco-20260422.htm0001628280-26-026383
Document: 0001628280-26-026383-index-headers.html0001628280-26-026383
Document: 0001628280-26-026383-index.html0001628280-26-026383
Document: 0001628280-26-026383.txt0001628280-26-026383
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-026383
9 reports for MCO
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +6.04%Mar 3, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for MCO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$488.42 $474.95▼ −2.76%▼ −1.01%$441.36 (−9.64%)
Jul 22, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$489.70 $497.03▲ +1.50%▼ −1.40%$441.36 (−9.87%)
Jul 17, 2026
11w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 3/10
$510.86 $484.96▼ −5.07%▼ −9.52%$441.36 (−13.60%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$490.51 $482.26▼ −1.68%▼ −1.27%$441.36 (−10.02%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$448.39 $490.51▲ +9.39%▲ +10.39%$441.36 (−1.57%)
Apr 22, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$466.72 $434.49▲ +6.91%▲ +10.07%$441.36 (+5.43%)
Apr 15, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$446.81 $451.75▲ +1.11%▼ −4.94%$441.36 (−1.22%)
Apr 1, 2026
26w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$438.78 $460.11▲ +4.86%▼ −4.86%$441.36 (+0.59%)
Mar 3, 2026
30w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$464.30 $436.25▲ +6.04%▲ +1.64%$441.36 (+4.94%)
Showing 9 of 9

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 10m)

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