8-K ·Filed Aug 5, 2026

LLY

ELI LILLY & Co
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonimmediate Processed2mo ago SEC0000059478-26-000077
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong beat and guidance raise reinforce Lilly's growth trajectory from its GLP-1 franchise. Traders should watch for retatrutide regulatory submission updates and manufacturing expansion progress as key catalysts through year-end.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
LLY ▼ -0.84% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -0.84% · α vs SPY -0.23% · entry $1,169.86 → $1,160.08
Next anchor: T+60d in 10d
Latest observation: T+50 +0.61% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 5, 07:05 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+1.89%
call +1.89% · α +2.05%
$1,191.94
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+4.31%
call +4.31% · α +3.96%
$1,220.28
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-0.84%
call -0.84% · α -0.23%
$1,160.08
settled 7w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 10d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Lilly reported Q2 2026 revenue of $22.97B (up 48% YoY, 11% above consensus) and non-GAAP EPS of $8.38 (up 33%, 27% above consensus), driven by Mounjaro ($9.9B, +91%) and Zepbound ($4.9B, +46%). The company raised full-year revenue guidance from $82-85B to $85-87B and underlying EPS guidance by $2.78 (offset by $3.03 in IPRD charges), signaling strong demand for its incretin portfolio. Pipeline progress includes complete Phase 3 data for retatrutide supporting global registration for obesity and related conditions, with BLA submission planned for Q1 2027.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$8.38
est $6.58 · +27.4%
Revenue
$23.0B
est $20.7B · +11.0% · +48.0% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Guidance
$85.0 billion to $87.0 billion
raised
Gross Margin
85.8%

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 revenue $22.97B, up 48% YoY (consensus $20.69B, beat 11%)
  • Non-GAAP EPS $8.38, up 33% YoY (consensus $6.58, beat 27%)
  • Full-year revenue guidance raised to $85-87B from $82-85B
  • Underlying non-GAAP EPS guidance raised by $2.78 at midpoint, offset by $3.03 IPRD charges
  • Mounjaro revenue $9.94B (+91% YoY), Zepbound $4.93B (+46% YoY)
  • Complete Phase 3 retatrutide data package for obesity/OSA/knee osteoarthritis pain; BLA submission planned Q1 2027
  • Committed additional $4.5B to Indiana manufacturing expansion
  • Completed acquisitions of Orna, Ajax, Centessa, and Kelonia during Q2

Financial Impact

EPS beat by $1.80 (27%) on consensus of $6.58; revenue beat by $2.28B (11%) on consensus of $20.69B

revenueepsguidance

Risk Factors

  • Pricing pressure from NRDL in China and cash-pay price reductions in the U.S.
  • Acquired IPRD charges of $3.03/share weigh on GAAP EPS; potential for further deal-related dilution
  • Competitive landscape for GLP-1 drugs (Novo Nordisk, Pfizer, others) may intensify
  • Integration risk from multiple acquisitions (Orna, Ajax, Centessa, Kelonia)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
79% bullish (38 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000059478-26-000077
Document: lly-20260805.htm0000059478-26-000077
Document: 0000059478-26-000077-index-headers.html0000059478-26-000077
Document: 0000059478-26-000077-index.html0000059478-26-000077
Document: 0000059478-26-000077.txt0000059478-26-000077
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000059478-26-000077
15 reports for LLY
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 5 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +31.53%Apr 16, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for LLY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 11, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$1,115.70 $1,179.27▲ +5.70%▲ +3.83%$1,257.03 (+12.67%)
Sep 8, 2026
5w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1,123.91 $1,157.49▲ +2.99%▲ +1.02%$1,257.03 (+11.84%)
Aug 18, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1,225.73 $1,137.82▼ −7.17%▼ −5.86%$1,257.03 (+2.55%)
Aug 11, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1,215.02 $1,124.21▼ −7.47%▼ −6.42%$1,257.03 (+3.46%)
Aug 7, 2026
10w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1,185.71 $1,149.36▼ −3.07%▼ −2.67%$1,257.03 (+6.01%)
Aug 5, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$1,169.86 $1,160.08▼ −0.84%▼ −0.23%$1,257.03 (+7.45%)
Aug 4, 2026
10w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$1,115.68 $1,160.00▲ +3.97%▲ +5.21%$1,257.03 (+12.67%)
Jul 31, 2026
11w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1,148.84 $1,174.61▼ −2.24%▲ +0.74%$1,257.03 (−9.42%)
Jul 30, 2026
11w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$1,154.97 $1,176.10▲ +1.83%▼ −2.14%$1,257.03 (+8.84%)
Jul 22, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1,163.01 $1,280.34▲ +10.09%▲ +7.19%$1,257.03 (+8.08%)
Showing 10 of 15

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