EFFECT ·Filed May 18, 2026

LDI

loanDepot, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001670
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The shelf is now live — watch for a prospectus supplement (424B5) that would signal an actual takedown. Given the $60M quarterly cash burn and $277M remaining cash, a capital raise within 3-6 months is highly probable. Any announced offering below $1.50/share would be deeply dilutive given the current ~$2.00 stock price.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
LDI ▼ -26.06% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +26.06% · α vs SPY +30.91% · entry $1.19 → $0.8799
Entry anchored
May 18, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-4.20%
call +4.20% · α +3.55%
$1.14
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+6.72%
call -6.72% · α -5.10%
$1.27
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+3.36%
call -3.36% · α -1.78%
$1.23
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-26.06%
call +26.06% · α +30.91%
$0.8799
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The SEC declared effective loanDepot's S-3 shelf registration (File No. 333-295652) on May 15, 2026, covering up to $250M in securities. This follows the company's Q1 2026 net loss of $55M on $286M revenue and a $60M cash burn, with the shelf representing ~59% of the current $422M market cap. The effectiveness removes the final regulatory barrier for loanDepot to raise capital, creating immediate dilution overhang.

Key Facts

  • Effectiveness date: May 15, 2026 for File No. 333-295652
  • Shelf registration covers up to $250M in common, preferred, debt, warrants, depositary shares, purchase contracts, and units
  • Company reported Q1 2026 net loss of $55M on revenue of $286M (down 8% QoQ)
  • Cash burn of $60M in Q1 2026, cash declined from $337M to $277M
  • Shelf size represents ~59% of current $422M market cap
  • Cross-filing context: S-3/A filed 3 days prior and S-3 filed 11 days prior both flagged potential dilution

Financial Impact

Up to $250M in potential dilution, representing ~59% of current market cap

dilutionmarket capcash positiondebt capacity

Risk Factors

  • Imminent equity or convertible offering at depressed prices
  • Further dilution to existing common shareholders
  • Potential debt issuance increasing leverage on an already unprofitable business
  • Shelf overhang may suppress stock price until clarity on usage

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001670
Document: 9999999995-26-001670-index.html9999999995-26-001670
Document: 9999999995-26-001670.txt9999999995-26-001670
6 reports for LDI
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +31.79%May 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for LDI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 4, 2026
10w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$1.04 $0.9024▼ −13.23%▼ −12.63%$0.5340 (−48.65%)
Jun 11, 2026
18w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.16 $1.14▼ −1.72%▼ −3.62%$0.5340 (−53.97%)
May 18, 2026
22w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.19 $1.23▼ −3.36%▼ −1.78%$0.5340 (+55.13%)
May 15, 2026
22w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.19 $1.23▼ −3.36%▼ −1.78%$0.5340 (+55.13%)
May 15, 2026
22w ago
S-3/A
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.25 $1.21▲ +3.20%▲ +5.32%$0.5340 (+57.28%)
May 7, 2026
23w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.40 $1.18▲ +15.71%▲ +15.74%$0.5340 (+61.86%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

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