8-K ·Filed May 7, 2026

LAMR

LAMAR ADVERTISING CO/NEW
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed4mo ago SEC0001090425-26-000014
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The massive AFFO beat and management's confirmation of trending at the top end of guidance should drive near-term upside. Watch for potential upward guidance revision on the conference call. The stock's 54% analyst bullish rating and strong historical T+20 performance (+8.96% on last report) suggest momentum may continue.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
LAMR ▲ +6.43% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +6.43% · α vs SPY +4.32% · entry $150.30 → $159.96
Entry anchored
May 7, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+4.70%
call +4.70% · α +3.87%
$157.36
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-2.45%
call -2.45% · α -3.95%
$146.62
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-0.47%
call -0.47% · α -3.60%
$149.59
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+6.43%
call +6.43% · α +4.32%
$159.96
settled 8w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Lamar Advertising reported Q1 2026 AFFO per share of $1.72, a 105% beat vs the $0.84 consensus estimate, driven by 4.5% revenue growth and 7.7% Adjusted EBITDA growth. Management noted results surpassed internal forecasts and pacings are trending at the top end of prior full-year AFFO guidance ($8.50-$8.70), signaling accelerating operational momentum.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$1.72
est $0.84 · +104.8%
Revenue
$528.0M
est $522.5M · +1.1% · +4.5% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Free Cash Flow
$152.3M

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 AFFO per diluted share of $1.72 vs consensus $0.84 (105.1% beat)
  • Net revenues $528.0M, up 4.5% YoY from $505.4M
  • Adjusted EBITDA $226.3M, up 7.7% YoY from $210.2M
  • Free cash flow $152.4M, up 25.8% YoY from $121.1M
  • AFFO $177.5M, up 8.0% YoY from $164.3M
  • GAAP diluted EPS $1.00 vs $1.35 YoY (down 26.9% due to prior-year Vistar gain)
  • Total debt $3.50B vs $3.42B at year-end 2025; liquidity $701.5M
  • Management 'trending at top end' of FY2026 AFFO guidance of $8.50-$8.70

Financial Impact

Q1 AFFO beat consensus by $0.88/share (105%); revenue beat by $5.5M (1.1%); FCF up 25.8% YoY

afforevenueadjustedEbitdafreeCashFlow

Risk Factors

  • GAAP EPS declined 26.9% YoY due to prior-year Vistar gain — headline earnings quality concern
  • Total debt increased $76M from year-end 2025 to $3.50B
  • Advertising demand sensitive to macroeconomic conditions and tariff/geopolitical risks

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Analyst Consensus
54% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001090425-26-000014
Document: lamr-20260507.htm0001090425-26-000014
Document: 0001090425-26-000014-index-headers.html0001090425-26-000014
Document: 0001090425-26-000014-index.html0001090425-26-000014
Document: 0001090425-26-000014.txt0001090425-26-000014
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001090425-26-000014
8 reports for LAMR
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 4 of 4 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +6.43%May 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for LAMR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$150.79 $144.11▼ −4.43%▼ −4.10%$145.13 (−3.75%)
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$160.00 $151.55▼ −5.28%▼ −5.88%$145.13 (−9.30%)
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$160.00 $151.55▼ −5.28%▼ −5.88%$145.13 (−9.30%)
Jul 25, 2026
9w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$160.99 $152.68▼ −5.16%▼ −8.46%$145.13 (−9.85%)
May 14, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$145.00 $154.48▲ +6.54%▲ +4.42%$145.13 (+0.09%)
May 7, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$150.30 $149.59▼ −0.47%▼ −3.60%$145.13 (−3.44%)
May 7, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$150.30 $149.59▼ −0.47%▼ −3.60%$145.13 (−3.44%)
Apr 13, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$133.96 $152.26▲ +13.66%▲ +7.37%$145.13 (+8.34%)
Showing 8 of 8

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