PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 11, 2026

KEEL

Keel Infrastructure
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed4mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The earnings miss and widening losses are negative for near-term price, but the company's strong liquidity and strategic pivot to HPC/AI may limit downside. Monitor progress on lease execution at Panther Creek, Sharon, and Moses Lake for signs of inflection.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
KEEL ▼ -8.60% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +8.60% · α vs SPY +13.00% · entry $4.30 → $3.93
Entry anchored
May 11, 06:39 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-5.35%
call +5.35% · α +5.21%
$4.07
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-2.79%
call +2.79% · α +2.71%
$4.18
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+26.05%
call -26.05% · α -26.35%
$5.42
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-8.60%
call +8.60% · α +13.00%
$3.93
settled 8w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Keel Infrastructure reported Q1 2026 revenue of $37M (down 22% YoY) and GAAP EPS of -$0.21, a 425% miss vs consensus of -$0.04, with operating loss widening to $98M and negative adjusted EBITDA. The poor results stem from the ongoing strategic shift away from Bitcoin mining to HPC/AI infrastructure, though the company maintains $533M liquidity.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-0.21
est $-0.04 · -425.0%
Revenue
$37.0M
est $44.2M · -16.3% · -22.4% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Gross Margin
-71.1%

Key Facts

  • Revenue $36.99M, down 22% YoY from $47.65M
  • GAAP EPS -$0.21 vs consensus -$0.04 (425% miss)
  • Operating loss $98.4M vs $34.8M in Q1 2025
  • Adjusted EBITDA -$16.7M (negative 45% of revenue) vs positive $6.9M a year ago
  • Liquidity $533M as of May 8, 2026, including $336M cash and $197M Bitcoin
  • Strategic pivot to North American HPC/AI data centers, exiting Latin America

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of $10.7M YoY and EPS miss of $0.17 per share; significant operating loss widening.

revenueepsoperating incomeadjusted ebitda

Risk Factors

  • Continued operating losses and negative cash flow from legacy operations
  • Execution risk in transitioning to HPC/AI data center development
  • Bitcoin price volatility affecting remaining holdings
  • Potential dilution from future capital raises

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (16 analysts)

Investment Themes

Crypto & Blockchain

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3291726
12 reports for KEEL
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 5 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +38.60%Jun 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for KEEL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.32 $4.07▲ +22.59%▲ +23.12%$3.62 (+9.04%)
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$3.37 $4.01▲ +18.99%▲ +18.99%$3.62 (+7.42%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$3.16 $3.38▲ +6.96%▲ +7.95%$3.62 (+14.56%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$3.40 $3.73▲ +9.71%▲ +10.62%$3.62 (+6.47%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$3.40 $3.73▲ +9.71%▲ +10.62%$3.62 (+6.47%)
Jul 27, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.05 $3.25▼ −19.75%▼ −23.05%$3.62 (−10.62%)
Jul 6, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.84 $3.97▼ −17.98%▼ −17.41%$3.62 (−25.21%)
Jun 5, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$5.13 $4.84▲ +5.65%▲ +7.51%$3.62 (+29.43%)
Jun 4, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$5.13 $4.84▲ +5.65%▲ +7.51%$3.62 (+29.43%)
May 11, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.30 $5.42▼ −26.05%▼ −26.35%$3.62 (+15.81%)
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 1m)

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Report published May 11, 2026