8-K ·Filed Jun 23, 2026

KBH

KB HOME
BEARISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0000795266-26-000060
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The magnitude of the revenue and EPS miss relative to consensus is extreme for a homebuilder of this scale — expect significant downside at the open. The Q3 guidance midpoint of $1.275B in housing revenue implies a further ~16% YoY decline, offering no near-term catalyst. Monitor community count trajectory (guidance 270-280 for Q3 end vs 276 end of Q2) and whether gross margin can stabilize toward the guided 16.0%-16.6% range. The elevated debt-to-capital (34.1%) and draw on the revolver ($275M outstanding) are incremental credit concerns. Short-term negative momentum is likely to persist through the Q3 report.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
KBH ▼ -21.09% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +21.09% · α vs SPY +23.92% · entry $61.51 → $48.54
Entry anchored
Jun 23, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-1.28%
call +1.28% · α +1.43%
$60.72
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-1.45%
call +1.45% · α +3.15%
$60.62
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-8.19%
call +8.19% · α +10.13%
$56.47
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-21.09%
call +21.09% · α +23.92%
$48.54
settled 15d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

KB Home reported Q2 FY2026 results that sharply missed consensus estimates, with EPS of $0.43 vs. $0.90 estimate (-52% miss) and revenue of $1.11B vs. $1.35B estimate, driven by a 27% YoY revenue decline, a 23% drop in deliveries, and housing gross margin compression to 15.2% from 19.3%. Guidance for Q3 housing revenue ($1.20B-$1.35B) is below the prior-year quarter ($1.52B), and full-year revenue guidance was narrowed to $4.90B-$5.30B, down meaningfully from the prior year's $5.83B run-rate, signaling prolonged weakness in homebuilding fundamentals.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.43
est $0.90 · -52.2%
Revenue
$1.1B
est $1.4B · -17.6% · -27.0% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Guidance
$4.90B-$5.30B (FY2026 full year housing rev)
maintained
Gross Margin
15.2%

Key Facts

  • Diluted EPS of $0.43 missed consensus of $0.90 by 52.0%
  • Revenue of $1.11B fell 27% YoY and missed the $1.35B consensus
  • Homes delivered declined 23% YoY to 2,395
  • Housing gross profit margin contracted to 15.2% from 19.3% YoY
  • Homebuilding operating income fell 79% to $28.2M; margin was 2.5% vs 8.6%
  • Net orders declined 4% YoY to 3,317; backlog fell 5% in homes and 7% in value
  • Debt-to-capital ratio rose to 34.1% from 30.3%, with notes payable up 16%
  • Q3 guidance: deliveries 2,600-2,800 vs prior-year Q3 of 3,120; housing revenue $1.20B-$1.35B vs $1.52B
  • Full-year 2026 revenue guidance narrowed to $4.90B-$5.30B, down from $5.83B in FY2025
  • Repurchased $75M in stock during Q2, totaling $125M H1; $775M authorization remaining

Financial Impact

Revenue declined $417M (-27%) YoY to $1.11B; net income fell $80.5M (-75%) to $27.3M. Housing gross profit margin compressed 410 bps to 15.2%.

revenueepsgross marginoperating incomedeliveriesnet ordersbacklogdebt level

Risk Factors

  • Further revenue and delivery declines as high mortgage rates suppress demand
  • Additional gross margin compression from price reductions and elevated land costs
  • Rising leverage could lead to a credit rating review if housing market weakens further
  • Cancellation rates (12%) could increase if buyer sentiment deteriorates

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Operative Builders
Analyst Consensus
12% bullish (25 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000795266-26-000060
Document: kbh-20260623.htm0000795266-26-000060
Document: 0000795266-26-000060-index-headers.html0000795266-26-000060
Document: 0000795266-26-000060-index.html0000795266-26-000060
Document: 0000795266-26-000060.txt0000795266-26-000060
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000795266-26-000060
6 reports for KBH
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for KBH — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 28, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$54.86 $47.88▼ −12.72%▼ −12.98%$45.76 (−16.59%)
Aug 7, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$56.52 $50.20▼ −11.18%▼ −10.27%$45.76 (−19.04%)
Jul 15, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$56.42 $55.80▼ −1.10%▼ −3.44%$45.76 (−18.89%)
Jun 23, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$61.51 $56.47▲ +8.19%▲ +10.13%$45.76 (+25.61%)
May 1, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$47.85 $51.11▼ −6.82%▼ −1.17%$45.76 (+4.36%)
Mar 13, 2026
28w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$54.03 $51.93▼ −3.88%▼ −7.66%$45.76 (−15.30%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 28m)

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