Institutional Cluster

IVR

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 3 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

This cluster lacks conviction signals—no NEW positions or EXITS. Two Sigma's add and Citadel's trim offset each other as quant rebalancing. Without activist or value-fund involvement, the $4.3M net inflow is insufficient to drive a thesis. Monitor the next 13F for retained position sizes to see if the selling continues or reverses.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
IVR ▼ -10.00% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -10.00% · α vs SPY -14.40% · entry $8.00 → $7.20
Entry anchored
Jun 11, 10:01 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.75%
call -0.75% · α -1.29%
$7.94
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+0.63%
call +0.63% · α +0.19%
$8.05
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-0.38%
call -0.38% · α -2.27%
$7.97
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-10.00%
call -10.00% · α -14.40%
$7.20
settled 24d ago

Executive Summary

Mixed institutional cluster for IVR in Q3 2025: two quant managers (Two Sigma, Citadel) took opposite sides while passive funds mostly trimmed. Net dollar flow was positive ($5.1M added vs $821K sold), but the largest seller (Citadel) exited 74% of its stake. No activist or value-fund participation—this is noise-level position management by multi-strat and passive houses.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$12.7M
Sell Value
$820.8K
Net Flow
$4.3M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $4.3M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Two SigmaADD+66%$7.7M$2.9M
Morgan StanleyADD+82.4%$5.0M$2.2M

▼ Sellers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
CitadelTRIM-73.7%$657.0K-$490.2K
BofATRIM-60.1%$515.0K-$316.9K

Key Facts

  • 3 institutions added $12.7M in current holdings, net buying $5.1M
  • 3 institutions reduced holdings by $821K in aggregate
  • Two Sigma (quant) was the largest buyer, adding $2.9M (+66% shares)
  • Citadel (quant) was the largest seller, trimming 74% of shares for a $490K reduction
  • No activist, family office, or value-focused active manager participated; all moves are from quant and mega-passive firms
  • IVR has $733M market cap with 8% analyst bullish consensus (6 Hold, 5 Sell)

Financial Impact

Net institutional inflow of ~$4.3M ($5.1M bought minus $821K sold) against a $733M market cap; net activity represents ~0.6% of float. No directional catalyst implied.

institutional ownershipshare price

Risk Factors

  • All participants are passive/quant; no fundamental conviction to anchor the positions
  • Two Sigma's large add could unwind silently if the quant model flips
  • IVR's analyst consensus is predominantly bearish (Sell recommendations outnumber Buy 5:1)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Analyst Consensus
8% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-IVR-2025-Q3
6 reports for IVR
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for IVR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$7.40 $7.19▼ −2.84%▼ −1.60%—
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$7.41 $7.36▲ +0.67%▲ +3.66%—
Jun 12, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$8.06 $7.86▼ −2.48%▼ −1.73%—
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$8.00 $7.97▼ −0.38%▼ −2.27%—
May 14, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$23.52 $24.06▲ +2.30%▲ +0.19%—
Mar 20, 2026
28w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.41 $8.19▲ +10.46%▲ +1.14%—
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 21m)

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Report published Jun 11, 2026