PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 5, 2026

INGR

Ingredion Incorporated
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The Argo facility disruption is the dominant near-term catalyst — monitor Q2 operational updates for signs of sequential improvement. With full-year guidance implying H2 recovery, any delay in Argo's return to normal operations would pressure the stock further. The 64% YoY decline in the core U.S./CAN segment is a material negative signal for a company with $6.7B market cap.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
INGR ▼ -6.35% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +6.35% · α vs SPY +9.09% · entry $107.13 → $100.33
Entry anchored
May 4, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.71%
call +0.71% · α +2.09%
$106.37
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-0.87%
call +0.87% · α +2.85%
$106.20
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-5.61%
call +5.61% · α +10.56%
$101.12
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-6.35%
call +6.35% · α +9.09%
$100.33
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Ingredion reported Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $2.34, a 21% YoY decline from $2.97, and net sales of $1.792B (-1% YoY). Results were significantly impacted by operational challenges at the Argo facility, causing a 64% drop in F&II—U.S./CAN operating income. Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance was lowered to $10.45-$11.15, reflecting persistent headwinds from Argo and currency effects.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$2.34
est $2.47 · -5.3%
Revenue
$1.8B
est $1.8B · +0.1% · -1.2% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
flat to up low single-digits
lowered
Free Cash Flow
-$77.0M
Gross Margin
22.38%

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 adjusted EPS $2.34 vs $2.97 YoY (-21%)
  • Q1 2026 net sales $1.792B vs $1.813B YoY (-1%)
  • Adjusted operating income $212M vs $273M YoY (-22%)
  • F&II—U.S./CAN operating income $34M vs $92M YoY (-63%) due to Argo facility issues
  • Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance lowered to $10.45-$11.15
  • Full-year 2026 adjusted operating income expected flat to down low single-digits
  • Q2 2026 adjusted operating income expected down high single-digits YoY
  • Cash from operations guidance $725M-$825M; capex $400M-$440M
  • Quarterly dividend $0.82/share maintained; $14M in share repurchases in Q1

Financial Impact

Q1 adjusted EPS miss of ~$0.13 vs consensus $2.47; full-year guidance midpoint $10.80 vs prior expectations; Argo disruption costing ~$20M direct costs and impairing U.S./CAN segment profitability

epsrevenueoperatingIncomeguidance

Risk Factors

  • Argo facility recovery slower than expected, extending into H2 2026
  • Further tariff escalation impacting input costs or demand
  • Mexican peso strength continuing to pressure LATAM segment
  • Downward revision to full-year guidance if H2 recovery fails to materialize

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Grain Mill Products
Analyst Consensus
57% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3287444
14 reports for INGR
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate 3 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +7.12%Jun 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for INGR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$101.74 $104.74▲ +2.95%▼ −2.07%$95.33 (−6.30%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$94.71 $101.45▲ +7.12%▲ +8.14%$95.33 (+0.65%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$94.71 $101.45▲ +7.12%▲ +8.14%$95.33 (+0.65%)
Jun 25, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$97.50 $100.25▲ +2.82%▲ +1.56%$95.33 (−2.23%)
Jun 9, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$102.54 $97.49▼ −4.92%▼ −8.55%$95.33 (−7.03%)
Jun 8, 2026
16w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$99.66 $99.29▼ −0.37%▼ −2.00%$95.33 (−4.34%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$101.12 $95.62▼ −5.44%▼ −3.87%$95.33 (−5.73%)
May 28, 2026
18w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$103.21 $97.50▼ −5.53%▼ −2.39%$95.33 (−7.63%)
May 20, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$102.15 $97.91▼ −4.15%▼ −4.48%$95.33 (−6.68%)
May 14, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$102.25 $101.59▼ −0.65%▲ +0.21%$95.33 (−6.77%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 10m)

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Report published May 5, 2026