8-K ·Filed Apr 30, 2026

ICE

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC0001104659-26-052145
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The massive EPS beat and record revenues driven by energy and financials trading volumes are the headline. However, the mortgage tech segment remains a GAAP loss-maker and full-year OpEx guidance was raised. Traders should watch the earnings call for color on whether elevated trading volumes are sustainable and for any update on mortgage tech profitability trajectory.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
ICE ▼ -7.48% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -7.48% · α vs SPY -10.30% · entry $157.58 → $145.79
Entry anchored
Apr 30, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-1.85%
call -1.85% · α -2.07%
$154.66
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-1.16%
call -1.16% · α -2.89%
$155.75
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-6.31%
call -6.31% · α -11.54%
$147.63
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-7.48%
call -7.48% · α -10.30%
$145.79
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

ICE reported record Q1 2026 results with net revenues of $3.0B (+20% YoY) and GAAP diluted EPS of $2.48 (+80% YoY), significantly exceeding consensus estimates of $2.26 EPS and $2.95B revenue. The beat was driven by surging exchange transaction revenues (+38% YoY) amid elevated macro volatility, while the mortgage technology segment remained a drag with a GAAP operating loss. Guidance was modestly raised on operating expenses, but no explicit EPS or revenue guidance was provided.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$2.48
est $2.26 · +9.7%
Revenue
$3.0B
est $3.0B · +0.9% · +20.4% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Free Cash Flow
$1.1B

Key Facts

  • Record Q1 2026 net revenues of $3.0B, +20% YoY (vs $2.47B in Q1 2025)
  • GAAP diluted EPS of $2.48, +80% YoY (vs $1.38); adjusted diluted EPS of $2.35, +37% YoY (vs $1.72)
  • Record operating income of $1.7B, +36% YoY; operating margin expanded to 56% from 49%
  • Exchange segment net revenues surged 30% to $1.78B, driven by energy (+46%) and financials (+65%)
  • Transaction revenues, net grew 34% YoY to $1.66B; recurring revenues grew 7% to $1.32B
  • Returned $848M to stockholders in Q1, including $551M in share repurchases and $297M in dividends
  • Full-year 2026 GAAP operating expense guidance raised to $5.095B-$5.145B (from $5.010B-$5.075B)
  • Mortgage technology segment posted a GAAP operating loss of -$13M (margin -2%), though adjusted margin was 39%

Financial Impact

EPS beat consensus by +9.7% ($2.48 vs $2.26 est); revenue beat by +0.9% ($3.0B vs $2.95B est)

revenueepsoperating incomeoperating margincash flow

Risk Factors

  • Elevated trading volumes may normalize, compressing future exchange revenue growth
  • Mortgage technology segment continues to generate GAAP operating losses despite adjusted profitability
  • Full-year OpEx guidance raised by ~$85M at midpoint, signaling cost pressures
  • Debt increased to $20.4B from $19.6B at year-end 2025

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (21 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-052145
Document: tm2612824d1_8k.htm0001104659-26-052145
Document: 0001104659-26-052145-index-headers.html0001104659-26-052145
Document: 0001104659-26-052145-index.html0001104659-26-052145
Document: 0001104659-26-052145.txt0001104659-26-052145
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001104659-26-052145
18 reports for ICE
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +3.13%Jul 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ICE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 3, 2026
29d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$164.59 $157.40▼ −4.37%▼ −3.22%$149.81 (−8.98%)
Aug 28, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$162.33 $161.26▼ −0.66%▼ −0.77%$149.81 (−7.71%)
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$162.99 $160.70▼ −1.41%▼ −1.87%$149.81 (−8.09%)
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$161.25 $162.33▲ +0.67%▲ +0.20%$149.81 (−7.09%)
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$161.25 $162.33▲ +0.67%▲ +0.20%$149.81 (−7.09%)
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$161.25 $162.33▲ +0.67%▲ +0.20%$149.81 (−7.09%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$154.31 $162.49▲ +5.30%▲ +6.49%$149.81 (−2.92%)
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$154.73 $161.22▲ +4.20%▲ +5.56%$149.81 (−3.18%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
424B5
MIXED ★ 6/10
$151.25 $156.18▲ +3.26%▲ +3.66%$149.81 (−0.95%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$156.27 $149.75▼ −4.17%▼ −7.80%$149.81 (−4.13%)
Showing 10 of 18

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