Institutional Cluster

IBM

INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 2 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor if additional 13F filings confirm a broader sell-off or if the buying managers increase further. The Amundi trim is large but may reflect portfolio rebalancing rather than a fundamental thesis change. Next earnings report will clarify whether the active buyers' conviction is rewarded.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
IBM ▼ -14.54% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -14.54% · α vs SPY -18.93% · entry $274.85 → $234.89
Entry anchored
Jun 11, 02:06 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.95%
call -0.95% · α -1.49%
$272.24
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-4.55%
call -4.55% · α -4.98%
$262.35
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+7.44%
call +7.44% · α +5.55%
$295.30
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-14.54%
call -14.54% · α -18.93%
$234.89
settled 6w ago

Executive Summary

IBM institutional cluster for Q2 2025 shows three active managers (Dodge & Cox, Franklin Resources, Massachusetts Financial) adding positions totaling $217.9M, while two sellers trimmed, led by Amundi's $377.8M reduction. Net institutional flow is negative ($159.9M sold), but the buying is concentrated among value-oriented managers, suggesting selective conviction.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$530.0M
Sell Value
$1.2B
Net Flow
-$159.9M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$159.9M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Dodge & CoxADD+41.8%$14.2M$5.7M
Franklin ResourcesADD+45.8%$387.1M$163.2M
Massachusetts Financial ServicADD+36.2%$128.7M$49.0M

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
MatrixTRIM-25.6%$281.0K-$33.0K
AmundiTRIM-36.1%$1.5B-$377.8M

Key Facts

  • 3 buyers added $217.9M collectively (Franklin Resources +$163.2M, Massachusetts Financial +$49.0M, Dodge & Cox +$5.7M)
  • 2 sellers reduced by $377.8M collectively (Amundi -$377.8M, Matrix -$33K)
  • Net institutional selling of approximately $159.9M
  • All participants are active managers (value/asset manager), no passive index funds in the cluster
  • Amundi's 36.1% trim is the dominant sell-side move, representing a large European asset manager reducing exposure

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of $159.9M, with buyers accumulating $217.9M and sellers reducing $377.8M

institutional ownershipfloat allocation

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45 days old; positions may have been unwound or adjusted
  • Amundi's large reduction could precede further institutional selling
  • Low historical win rate (38% at T+20) on IBM calls suggests caution on overinterpreting the cluster

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Computer & office Equipment
Analyst Consensus
61% bullish (28 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-IBM-2025-Q2
20 reports for IBM
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 8 of 8 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +5.15%Feb 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for IBM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 26, 2026
7w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$229.87 $227.06▼ −1.22%▼ −1.45%—
Aug 12, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$235.98 $234.02▲ +0.83%▼ −1.07%—
Aug 11, 2026
9w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$238.42 $239.94▲ +0.64%▲ +1.70%—
Aug 6, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$237.28 $234.89▲ +1.01%▲ +0.61%—
Aug 6, 2026
10w ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$233.43 $234.71▲ +0.55%▼ −0.05%—
Jul 22, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$205.77 $237.04▲ +15.20%▲ +12.30%—
Jul 21, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$210.50 $232.67▼ −10.53%▼ −7.97%—
Jul 20, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$213.00 $228.85▼ −7.44%▼ −3.32%—
Jul 14, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$217.07 $238.42▼ −9.84%▼ −7.34%—
Jul 8, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$302.05 $235.92▼ −21.89%▼ −25.17%—
Showing 10 of 20

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Report published Jun 11, 2026